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	<title>Comments on: Griffin regrets global warming comments, sorta</title>
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	<link>http://blogs.discovermagazine.com/badastronomy/2007/06/07/griffin-regrets-saying-what-he-thinks/</link>
	<description>I am an astronomer, writer, and skeptic. I likes reality the way it is, and I aims to keep it that way. My real name is Phil Plait, and I run the Bad Astronomy blog.</description>
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		<title>By: sabreTruthTiger</title>
		<link>http://blogs.discovermagazine.com/badastronomy/2007/06/07/griffin-regrets-saying-what-he-thinks/comment-page-1/#comment-207093</link>
		<dc:creator>sabreTruthTiger</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 18 Aug 2009 12:54:19 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://blogs.discovermagazine.com/badastronomy/2007/06/07/griffin-regrets-saying-what-he-thinks/#comment-207093</guid>
		<description>Global warming is a scam, fact. The global temperature is decreasing not increasing!!!! The most reliable sets of global temperature data we have, using microwave sounding units show no appreciable temperature increases, especially during the critical period 1978-97 when surface temperatures jumped, which makes it likely that that surface anomaly was due to Urban Heat Island effect. The models used by the IPCC do not take into account the most important ocean oscillations which clearly do affect global temperatures, namely the Pacific Decadal Oscillation, the Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation, and the El Nino Southern Oscillation. The PDO coincides with Global temperatures and has turned negative in the last few years along with Global temperatures.
The models also ignored the significant effect of solar radiation ions that cause clusters of Ozone, Sulphur Dioxide, and water vapour that attract water vapour and form clouds. Studies on the Greenland Ice shelf show there is no increased velocity of ice movement whatsoever! According to the erroneously named &quot;Large and Rapid Melt-Induced Velocity Changes in the Ablation Zone of the Greenland Ice Sheet&quot; There was one extremely and suspicious large ice movement over one week in Aug 2006, but up until and since then it&#039;s been as it always was.
The idea that the doubling of CO2 concentrations would cause more water vapour to form which in turn would block (OLR)outgoing long wave radiation creating GW is false. As Upper level temperature and CO2 have increased, water vapour has a tendency to decrease in the Upper Troposphere which overall allows the same amount of OLR to escape.
The Climate models also predict an unrealistic amount of water vapour in the upper atmosphere due to faulty sub-grid parameterization and the overestimation of the role of cumulonimbus convection in bringing vapour to the upper atmosphere.
Cumulonimbus convection only occurs in 2-3 percent of the global area, The mass that goes up in the deep convective clouds is then advected out and sinks due to radiational cooling and the need for mass balance. ALSO the Cumulonimbus convection actually leads to more return flow subsidence, enhance upper level subsidence actually acts to REDUCE upper layer water vapour and enhances the Outgoing Longwave Radiation!!
The grid which is a Global unit of area measurement in the Climate models does not take into account sub-grid convective/subsidence and produces a false average activity. These faulty parameterization schemes underestimate the amount of
activity and Outgoing Longwave Radiation and lead to a warmng effect. The Models also predict a large corelation between the upper and lower Troposphere which causes them to artificially moisten the Upper region when in actual fact observations show little or no correlation! This is important as it&#039;s not the total amount of precipital water that matters(this goes up with temperature) but the amount near the Upper Tropospheric emission level that&#039;s important as this determines the amount of Outgoing Longwave Radiation.

Computer models also predict that Greenhouse wrming will cause a hotspot between 8-12 kms over the tropics between 30 N and 30 S. This hotspot has been proven not to exist!

To Summarise: 1.Global temperatures are decreasing

2. Oceanic Oscillations, most notably the PDO play a much bigger part in Global temperature than CO2.

3. Solar radiation plays a bigger part in Global Temperature than CO2 

4.  Greenland Ice is not increasing in velocity.

5. Ice samples prove Global temperature changes precede CO2 changes showing that CO2 is not the major driver of climate change.

6. Relative humidity in the Upper Troposphere is incorrectly predicted by Computer models,using faulty sub-grid parameterization, and incorrectly ignoring the  Cumulonimbus convective subsidence effect, also ignoring the radiative cooling effects of the upper Troposphere region. These errors lead to exaggerated water vapour, Outgoing Longwave Radiation and thus warming.

Conclusion: Such scientifically erroneous procedures and conclusions that CO2 is responsible for a warming that doesn&#039;t even exist are most likely politically motivated and part of a scheme to make billions/trillions from carbon taxes, raising power/food prices and providing a threat that scares the population into letting the government pass restrictive laws</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Global warming is a scam, fact. The global temperature is decreasing not increasing!!!! The most reliable sets of global temperature data we have, using microwave sounding units show no appreciable temperature increases, especially during the critical period 1978-97 when surface temperatures jumped, which makes it likely that that surface anomaly was due to Urban Heat Island effect. The models used by the IPCC do not take into account the most important ocean oscillations which clearly do affect global temperatures, namely the Pacific Decadal Oscillation, the Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation, and the El Nino Southern Oscillation. The PDO coincides with Global temperatures and has turned negative in the last few years along with Global temperatures.<br />
The models also ignored the significant effect of solar radiation ions that cause clusters of Ozone, Sulphur Dioxide, and water vapour that attract water vapour and form clouds. Studies on the Greenland Ice shelf show there is no increased velocity of ice movement whatsoever! According to the erroneously named &#8220;Large and Rapid Melt-Induced Velocity Changes in the Ablation Zone of the Greenland Ice Sheet&#8221; There was one extremely and suspicious large ice movement over one week in Aug 2006, but up until and since then it&#8217;s been as it always was.<br />
The idea that the doubling of CO2 concentrations would cause more water vapour to form which in turn would block (OLR)outgoing long wave radiation creating GW is false. As Upper level temperature and CO2 have increased, water vapour has a tendency to decrease in the Upper Troposphere which overall allows the same amount of OLR to escape.<br />
The Climate models also predict an unrealistic amount of water vapour in the upper atmosphere due to faulty sub-grid parameterization and the overestimation of the role of cumulonimbus convection in bringing vapour to the upper atmosphere.<br />
Cumulonimbus convection only occurs in 2-3 percent of the global area, The mass that goes up in the deep convective clouds is then advected out and sinks due to radiational cooling and the need for mass balance. ALSO the Cumulonimbus convection actually leads to more return flow subsidence, enhance upper level subsidence actually acts to REDUCE upper layer water vapour and enhances the Outgoing Longwave Radiation!!<br />
The grid which is a Global unit of area measurement in the Climate models does not take into account sub-grid convective/subsidence and produces a false average activity. These faulty parameterization schemes underestimate the amount of<br />
activity and Outgoing Longwave Radiation and lead to a warmng effect. The Models also predict a large corelation between the upper and lower Troposphere which causes them to artificially moisten the Upper region when in actual fact observations show little or no correlation! This is important as it&#8217;s not the total amount of precipital water that matters(this goes up with temperature) but the amount near the Upper Tropospheric emission level that&#8217;s important as this determines the amount of Outgoing Longwave Radiation.</p>
<p>Computer models also predict that Greenhouse wrming will cause a hotspot between 8-12 kms over the tropics between 30 N and 30 S. This hotspot has been proven not to exist!</p>
<p>To Summarise: 1.Global temperatures are decreasing</p>
<p>2. Oceanic Oscillations, most notably the PDO play a much bigger part in Global temperature than CO2.</p>
<p>3. Solar radiation plays a bigger part in Global Temperature than CO2 </p>
<p>4.  Greenland Ice is not increasing in velocity.</p>
<p>5. Ice samples prove Global temperature changes precede CO2 changes showing that CO2 is not the major driver of climate change.</p>
<p>6. Relative humidity in the Upper Troposphere is incorrectly predicted by Computer models,using faulty sub-grid parameterization, and incorrectly ignoring the  Cumulonimbus convective subsidence effect, also ignoring the radiative cooling effects of the upper Troposphere region. These errors lead to exaggerated water vapour, Outgoing Longwave Radiation and thus warming.</p>
<p>Conclusion: Such scientifically erroneous procedures and conclusions that CO2 is responsible for a warming that doesn&#8217;t even exist are most likely politically motivated and part of a scheme to make billions/trillions from carbon taxes, raising power/food prices and providing a threat that scares the population into letting the government pass restrictive laws</p>
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		<title>By: marsmani</title>
		<link>http://blogs.discovermagazine.com/badastronomy/2007/06/07/griffin-regrets-saying-what-he-thinks/comment-page-1/#comment-135240</link>
		<dc:creator>marsmani</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 19 Nov 2008 22:20:45 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://blogs.discovermagazine.com/badastronomy/2007/06/07/griffin-regrets-saying-what-he-thinks/#comment-135240</guid>
		<description>how do we get the &#039;preserve and protect earth&#039;  put back into the mission statement? 
As far as I know, NASA is still doing climate research.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>how do we get the &#8216;preserve and protect earth&#8217;  put back into the mission statement?<br />
As far as I know, NASA is still doing climate research.</p>
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		<title>By: Floridian</title>
		<link>http://blogs.discovermagazine.com/badastronomy/2007/06/07/griffin-regrets-saying-what-he-thinks/comment-page-1/#comment-37910</link>
		<dc:creator>Floridian</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 10 Oct 2007 02:06:10 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://blogs.discovermagazine.com/badastronomy/2007/06/07/griffin-regrets-saying-what-he-thinks/#comment-37910</guid>
		<description>Global Warming Impact Day 1 - Some say the full brunt of the global warming storm will hit on the day we least expect it!

http://www.ecopayday.com</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Global Warming Impact Day 1 &#8211; Some say the full brunt of the global warming storm will hit on the day we least expect it!</p>
<p><a href="http://www.ecopayday.com" rel="nofollow">http://www.ecopayday.com</a></p>
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		<title>By: veritas36</title>
		<link>http://blogs.discovermagazine.com/badastronomy/2007/06/07/griffin-regrets-saying-what-he-thinks/comment-page-1/#comment-37909</link>
		<dc:creator>veritas36</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 13 Jun 2007 14:04:55 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://blogs.discovermagazine.com/badastronomy/2007/06/07/griffin-regrets-saying-what-he-thinks/#comment-37909</guid>
		<description>The phrase in NASA&#039;s mission statement &quot;to preserve and protect the Earth&quot; recently disappeared quietly, although the previous mission statement had been much discussed and developed by employees.
Griffin&#039;s bizarre statements are more evidence that he is willing to participate in the Bush administration policy of minimizing climate science results. Like the order to government scientists not to talk about polar bears!
I would also note that climate research in NASA has been cut by 1/3. I am disappointed in Administrator Griffin.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>The phrase in NASA&#8217;s mission statement &#8220;to preserve and protect the Earth&#8221; recently disappeared quietly, although the previous mission statement had been much discussed and developed by employees.<br />
Griffin&#8217;s bizarre statements are more evidence that he is willing to participate in the Bush administration policy of minimizing climate science results. Like the order to government scientists not to talk about polar bears!<br />
I would also note that climate research in NASA has been cut by 1/3. I am disappointed in Administrator Griffin.</p>
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		<title>By: Gord</title>
		<link>http://blogs.discovermagazine.com/badastronomy/2007/06/07/griffin-regrets-saying-what-he-thinks/comment-page-1/#comment-37908</link>
		<dc:creator>Gord</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 11 Jun 2007 09:11:46 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://blogs.discovermagazine.com/badastronomy/2007/06/07/griffin-regrets-saying-what-he-thinks/#comment-37908</guid>
		<description>The Mike Mann (Hockey Sick) fiasco and possible scientific fraud is obvious proof that the theory of Man-made Global Warming is false.

If they had any real proof of the the MMGW theory, they would not have had to resort to such a distortion of science and the scientific method to make their claims.

If the MMGW advocates were concerned about scientific truth:

- Mike Mann and the &quot;hockey stick team&quot; would have made their raw data available to others for peer review, not used &quot;selective and corrupt data&quot; and not created a computer model that created a &quot;hockey stick graph&quot; when random data was fed into the computer model.
-The MMGW group would not try to censor disenting scientific opinion, they would encourage it.
-They would not resort to &quot;public scare tactics&quot; by manipulating the Media to propogate their beliefs.
-They would not make &quot;false and misleading&quot; statements to the Public and Public Officials.
-They would recognize that Science is based on verification of observed phenomena, not arbitrary manipulation of computer models.

Worst of all, the IPCC is complicit in this scam by encouraging and actively participating in this distortion of Science.
The last IPCC report was released after the conclusions (The Summary For Policy Makers) were released.
They &quot;altered&quot; the report to fit the pre-determined &quot;conclusions&quot;!
Sounds like good science to me!

Other Inconvenient Truths:
- The Oregon Petition..17,800 scientists signed a petition saying they Don&#039;t Believe in man-made global warming.
- The most recent IPCC report states that they 90% certain of their claims. The previous report stated that they were 95% certain.
- The IPCC claims they are right because they have a &quot;consensus&quot; of scientists who agree with them (ie. 2500 scientists).
Obvoiously, they don&#039;t have a concensus since the &quot;real consensus&quot; is that 87.7% scientists don&#039;t believe in MMGW!
Further, the small percentage of those scientists who do believe in MMGW (12.3%), are &quot;less certain&quot; than before!</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>The Mike Mann (Hockey Sick) fiasco and possible scientific fraud is obvious proof that the theory of Man-made Global Warming is false.</p>
<p>If they had any real proof of the the MMGW theory, they would not have had to resort to such a distortion of science and the scientific method to make their claims.</p>
<p>If the MMGW advocates were concerned about scientific truth:</p>
<p>- Mike Mann and the &#8220;hockey stick team&#8221; would have made their raw data available to others for peer review, not used &#8220;selective and corrupt data&#8221; and not created a computer model that created a &#8220;hockey stick graph&#8221; when random data was fed into the computer model.<br />
-The MMGW group would not try to censor disenting scientific opinion, they would encourage it.<br />
-They would not resort to &#8220;public scare tactics&#8221; by manipulating the Media to propogate their beliefs.<br />
-They would not make &#8220;false and misleading&#8221; statements to the Public and Public Officials.<br />
-They would recognize that Science is based on verification of observed phenomena, not arbitrary manipulation of computer models.</p>
<p>Worst of all, the IPCC is complicit in this scam by encouraging and actively participating in this distortion of Science.<br />
The last IPCC report was released after the conclusions (The Summary For Policy Makers) were released.<br />
They &#8220;altered&#8221; the report to fit the pre-determined &#8220;conclusions&#8221;!<br />
Sounds like good science to me!</p>
<p>Other Inconvenient Truths:<br />
- The Oregon Petition..17,800 scientists signed a petition saying they Don&#8217;t Believe in man-made global warming.<br />
- The most recent IPCC report states that they 90% certain of their claims. The previous report stated that they were 95% certain.<br />
- The IPCC claims they are right because they have a &#8220;consensus&#8221; of scientists who agree with them (ie. 2500 scientists).<br />
Obvoiously, they don&#8217;t have a concensus since the &#8220;real consensus&#8221; is that 87.7% scientists don&#8217;t believe in MMGW!<br />
Further, the small percentage of those scientists who do believe in MMGW (12.3%), are &#8220;less certain&#8221; than before!</p>
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		<title>By: Robert Carnegie</title>
		<link>http://blogs.discovermagazine.com/badastronomy/2007/06/07/griffin-regrets-saying-what-he-thinks/comment-page-1/#comment-37907</link>
		<dc:creator>Robert Carnegie</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sat, 09 Jun 2007 22:59:55 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://blogs.discovermagazine.com/badastronomy/2007/06/07/griffin-regrets-saying-what-he-thinks/#comment-37907</guid>
		<description>Sure, let&#039;s make the deserts hotter and watch them turn into farmland.

Suggestions for NASA to do something about global warming go along the lines of putting a mirror shield in space in front of the Earth to keep the sunshine off, or maybe adulterating the atmosphere.  Dumsping iron powder in the ocean to promote... algae I think... worked but not very well.  The algae - if it&#039;s algae - are supposed to eat carbon dioxide.

Hey, could we still bomb ourselves to a nuclear winter?  Solved!  But we&#039;d have to do it again like every ten years.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Sure, let&#8217;s make the deserts hotter and watch them turn into farmland.</p>
<p>Suggestions for NASA to do something about global warming go along the lines of putting a mirror shield in space in front of the Earth to keep the sunshine off, or maybe adulterating the atmosphere.  Dumsping iron powder in the ocean to promote&#8230; algae I think&#8230; worked but not very well.  The algae &#8211; if it&#8217;s algae &#8211; are supposed to eat carbon dioxide.</p>
<p>Hey, could we still bomb ourselves to a nuclear winter?  Solved!  But we&#8217;d have to do it again like every ten years.</p>
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		<title>By: slang</title>
		<link>http://blogs.discovermagazine.com/badastronomy/2007/06/07/griffin-regrets-saying-what-he-thinks/comment-page-1/#comment-37906</link>
		<dc:creator>slang</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sat, 09 Jun 2007 12:26:48 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://blogs.discovermagazine.com/badastronomy/2007/06/07/griffin-regrets-saying-what-he-thinks/#comment-37906</guid>
		<description>&quot;he said that maybe we shouldnâ€™t do anything about global warming because it would be &quot;arrogant&quot; to assume things will get worse&quot;

That is a horrible quote-mine of what Griffith said. He said it would be arrogant for one person to decide that the current climate is optimal for all other human beings. That&#039;s all he said about arrogance, nothing more, nothing less. He said nothing about manmade climate change there, nor about things getting better or worse.

What did Griffith say after being asked about his concerns? Evidence seems to pretty well nail down that humans are currently causing global warming. He&#039;s an engineer, and administrator, not a climatologist, so of course he cannot say definitively if it is a long term concern. But he&#039;s not saying it&#039;s NOT a long term concern, despite all the suggestions otherwise.

As to mankind wrestling with global warming, in my opinion Griffith&#039;s main concern in that question was that we cannot fully control climate change. In that sense he is right, we are powerless to compensate for solar and cosmic events (and maybe even earth events like catastrophic volcano eruptions) causing climate change. He said nothing about reducing or not reducing current human influence. Perhaps he should have, in his position, if only to clarify his reply.

And what is wrong about his last answer on the NPR page? It is clearly connected to the earlier questions in the interview about the NASA budget, and here he&#039;s answering as NASA administrator again. He simply says it is not in NASA&#039;s charter to battle climate change, and does not offer an opinion on whether it should or shouldn&#039;t be. As I see it, he responds to the question of how he puts together the budget, saying he does that based on the agency&#039;s charter (and thus not on his personal concerns).

Listening to the interview makes it clear to me that he was asked questions as administrator, and personal questions. (If you did not listen to it then shame on you, instead relying on excerpts on the NPR website, or worse, relying on Phil&#039;s partial quoting of them, or, even worse, some commenter&#039;s understanding of them.)  Taking his media comment on its own, without the context of it applying to the mixing of personal and professional questions making media interviews difficult (as the Yahoo News page shows), is in my opinion pretty unfair.

Where does that leave us? Griffith made no positive statement that manmade climate change should be reduced. I think he should have. Also, he did not argue to NOT reduce it. Even if anyone thinks that&#039;s what he meant, he did NOT say so. To suggest what he meant is pure assumption, and I would have thought that the fallout after the initial Shannon Malloy story would be enough warning against assuming too much based on a few quotes.

btw Dave Huntsman: &quot;Saying that itâ€™s arrogant for humans to think they can affect the climate is dumb.&quot; It&#039;s a lot dumber to suggest Griffith said that, when in fact he said the exact opposite in response to the first question on the NPR page. Pretty much your entire post falls apart because you mix up words from several sentences in the interview and then respond to it as if they were Griffith&#039;s words.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>&#8220;he said that maybe we shouldnâ€™t do anything about global warming because it would be &#8220;arrogant&#8221; to assume things will get worse&#8221;</p>
<p>That is a horrible quote-mine of what Griffith said. He said it would be arrogant for one person to decide that the current climate is optimal for all other human beings. That&#8217;s all he said about arrogance, nothing more, nothing less. He said nothing about manmade climate change there, nor about things getting better or worse.</p>
<p>What did Griffith say after being asked about his concerns? Evidence seems to pretty well nail down that humans are currently causing global warming. He&#8217;s an engineer, and administrator, not a climatologist, so of course he cannot say definitively if it is a long term concern. But he&#8217;s not saying it&#8217;s NOT a long term concern, despite all the suggestions otherwise.</p>
<p>As to mankind wrestling with global warming, in my opinion Griffith&#8217;s main concern in that question was that we cannot fully control climate change. In that sense he is right, we are powerless to compensate for solar and cosmic events (and maybe even earth events like catastrophic volcano eruptions) causing climate change. He said nothing about reducing or not reducing current human influence. Perhaps he should have, in his position, if only to clarify his reply.</p>
<p>And what is wrong about his last answer on the NPR page? It is clearly connected to the earlier questions in the interview about the NASA budget, and here he&#8217;s answering as NASA administrator again. He simply says it is not in NASA&#8217;s charter to battle climate change, and does not offer an opinion on whether it should or shouldn&#8217;t be. As I see it, he responds to the question of how he puts together the budget, saying he does that based on the agency&#8217;s charter (and thus not on his personal concerns).</p>
<p>Listening to the interview makes it clear to me that he was asked questions as administrator, and personal questions. (If you did not listen to it then shame on you, instead relying on excerpts on the NPR website, or worse, relying on Phil&#8217;s partial quoting of them, or, even worse, some commenter&#8217;s understanding of them.)  Taking his media comment on its own, without the context of it applying to the mixing of personal and professional questions making media interviews difficult (as the Yahoo News page shows), is in my opinion pretty unfair.</p>
<p>Where does that leave us? Griffith made no positive statement that manmade climate change should be reduced. I think he should have. Also, he did not argue to NOT reduce it. Even if anyone thinks that&#8217;s what he meant, he did NOT say so. To suggest what he meant is pure assumption, and I would have thought that the fallout after the initial Shannon Malloy story would be enough warning against assuming too much based on a few quotes.</p>
<p>btw Dave Huntsman: &#8220;Saying that itâ€™s arrogant for humans to think they can affect the climate is dumb.&#8221; It&#8217;s a lot dumber to suggest Griffith said that, when in fact he said the exact opposite in response to the first question on the NPR page. Pretty much your entire post falls apart because you mix up words from several sentences in the interview and then respond to it as if they were Griffith&#8217;s words.</p>
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