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Bad Astronomy
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Major Hubble failure may delay Shuttle flight

Well, nuts. There was a major failure in the Hubble Space Telescope electronics last night. The box that controls the detectors — the actual cameras that take the pictures and data of the sky — has malfunctioned. While the observatory itself can still be controlled, the cameras are out of commission.

Now, this may not be a complete disaster. NASA designs redundancy into important systems like this. There are two independent electronics systems in HST. This failure was in one, which means that they can switch to other and regain camera operational control… maybe. Side B, as the backup system is called, has never been used, so it’s been sitting up there for 18+ years and never been switched on. It’ll take a few days for NASA engineers to make sure things will work.

If it doesn’t, well then, that’s a sticky wicket indeed. The HST servicing mission was scheduled for launch in two weeks, and that might very well be delayed, maybe as long as many months. It’ll take that long at least to figure out how to fix things on Hubble.

But that’s only if Side B doesn’t work; hopefully it’ll switch on and we’ll have our Grand Dame of orbiting observatories back on the air. So to speak. For the moment, the Shuttle launch is scheduled to go up on time, on October 14.

I’ll have more info on this as soon as I hear it.

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September 29th, 2008 11:22 AM by Phil Plait in Astronomy, NASA, Space | 32 comments | RSS feed | Trackback >

32 Responses to “Major Hubble failure may delay Shuttle flight”

  1. 1.   madge Says:
    September 29th, 2008 at 11:38 am

    I will be keeping EVERYTHING crossed for the old girl. Hang in there Hubble. We love you
    :)

  2. 2.   Larian LeQuella Says:
    September 29th, 2008 at 11:39 am

    Nuts!

    - Anthony Clement McAuliffe

  3. 3.   Mena Says:
    September 29th, 2008 at 11:56 am

    Oddly enough, I decided to finally sit down and watch the MST3K movie last night. It was Mike Nelson after all! ;^)

  4. 4.   Pieter Kok Says:
    September 29th, 2008 at 12:10 pm

    Fingers crossed…

  5. 5.   Chuck Anziulewicz Says:
    September 29th, 2008 at 12:24 pm

    How depressing! Here’s hoping that “Side B” thingie works.

  6. 6.   GloomyGus Says:
    September 29th, 2008 at 12:28 pm

    I recall when I was studying Apollo 13 how awesomely intricate and involved the power-up and power-down sequences are. The true hero of Apollo 13 was the engineer (embarrassingly, I forget the name — the movie mentions him briefly but does not give his role near the justice it deserved) who figured out how to do that in short order — given the radically new hardware configuration after the failure. So this will be a real nail-biter and completely hidden from the public.

    As with everyone else, I wish the engineers the best on this and save my anti-NASA complaints for another day.

  7. 7.   Tensor Says:
    September 29th, 2008 at 12:39 pm

    I look at the timing as a possible good thing. What would have happened if the side A failure was AFTER the repair mission and then we found out that side B doesn’t work. What would have been the chances of getting another shuttle flight to the Hubble. At least now, if they find out side B doesn’t work, they can at least come up with a plan to repair the Hubble, even if that means a delay in the repair flight.

  8. 8.   billsmithaz Says:
    September 29th, 2008 at 12:43 pm

    My first thought was the same as Tensor’s.

    As bad as this might be, better to find out now, before the servicing mission.

  9. 9.   Michelle Says:
    September 29th, 2008 at 12:53 pm

    I dunno, but this sorta strikes me as a “Quick, let’s fix this thing NOW” and not a “Hey let’s fix that later.”

  10. 10.   Cheyenne Says:
    September 29th, 2008 at 12:57 pm

    18+ years and never been used. If they flip the switch and side B comes on and starts to work those engineers deserve a raise!

  11. 11.   Bruce Says:
    September 29th, 2008 at 1:18 pm

    It could be worse.
    Imagine if this had happenned a few weeks later, just after the servicing mission.

  12. 12.   Drew Says:
    September 29th, 2008 at 1:22 pm

    OK, that does not make a lick of sense. To have a back up system that has never been used or tested? Could they not run it periodically just to make sure it is up to the task?

    tsk tsk NASA, I thought you were smarter than that…

  13. 13.   ccpetersen Says:
    September 29th, 2008 at 1:23 pm

    Michelle, could be, but they had Side B there for a reason. Let’s see if it works… maybe NASA’s famous redundancy department is still working. ;)

  14. 14.   Ken B Says:
    September 29th, 2008 at 1:27 pm

    Side B, as the backup system is called, has never been used, so it’s been sitting up there for 18+ years and never been switched on.

    So, no one has ever checked the trunk to make sure the spare tire hasn’t rotted away? (Speaking of which, I should probably check that…)

    Or, it’s like a business that makes regular backups of their computer data, but never verifies them until they need to use them.

  15. 15.   Michael L Says:
    September 29th, 2008 at 1:32 pm

    Is there any guarantee as to how long “Side B” will actually work if and when they turn it on? If it’s been sitting for 18 years, there’s a good chance it may only work for a brief time, and then what? They will definitely never return to Hubble to fix that.

  16. 16.   Elwood Herring Says:
    September 29th, 2008 at 1:45 pm

    This is actually GOOD news folks. The failure would have happened sooner or later; it’s good that it has happened now while there’s still time to update the mission to include the new repairs. Imagine the alternative scenario: the existing mission goes ahead, the astronauts get all the way to Hubble and only then discover that it’s about to fail and they don’t have the equipment/training to repair it.

    Now THAT would have been a disaster of the first magnitude, bearing in mind that this next Hubble mission is going to be the last one. I think we should count our lucky stars (as soon as we can see them again anyway!)

  17. 17.   Elwood Herring Says:
    September 29th, 2008 at 1:48 pm

    Ooh – unintentional double pun! (disaster + first magnitude…). The lucky stars one was intentional.

    Wow, stellar!

  18. 18.   Molly Says:
    September 29th, 2008 at 1:52 pm

    Well it’s official. The mission has been delayed until “next year”. Whenever that may be.

  19. 19.   Sili Says:
    September 29th, 2008 at 1:53 pm

    If side B does work, can they swap out side A so that there’s a backuo next time this happens?

  20. 20.   Michael L Says:
    September 29th, 2008 at 1:59 pm

    @Molly,
    So does that mean Endeavour is still going in November, or is that mission pushed back?

  21. 21.   Molly Says:
    September 29th, 2008 at 2:21 pm

    The article on MSNBC claims that Endeavour is still on schedule for a November launch.

  22. 22.   Johnny Vector Says:
    September 29th, 2008 at 2:47 pm

    Drew and Ken B: In most cases, there is not much point to testing the backup system once it’s up. Say you find out the backup system isn’t working, now what? Switch back to the primary, which is where you were when you started.

    Of course with Hubble, you actually can do something about a busted backup, since the observatory is serviceable. So in this case it might have made sense. Except that switching over takes several days of downtime, because you want to do it carefully. So it’s a lot of effort, and a certain amount of risk, and not a lot of benefit. What might have been a good idea would be to add a way to test the redundant side without actually switching over to it. A self-test setup, where it could run a quick test and report the results out through the primary side. I say “might have been a good idea” because it still requires a cross-strap between the sides, and every cross-strap is a potential single-point failure that can take out the whole thing. You’d have to do the analysis to know if it really makes sense.

    Anyway, there is at least one possible replacement SI C&DH unit on the ground. It hasn’t been through environmental testing, so there’s some time needed to get it ready, but it is designed for EVA replacement. The EVA timeline is pretty full, so it’ll be tricky to squeeze it in, but the HST development people are pretty damn smart. It includes both primary and redundant sides in one unit, so both would be replaced.

    The plan at this instant (according to the press release) is to fly Endeavour (STS-126) as planned in November, and SM4 early next year. I heard February is likely the earliest a launch-on-need shuttle (Discovery, I guess) can be ready, so that’s probably the earliest SM4 could go.

    All this is subject to change, as they say.

  23. 23.   Phil Plait Says:
    September 29th, 2008 at 3:56 pm

    FWIW the Side B backup was tested on the ground before Hubble was launched.

    There is a press conference in a few minutes, so I’ll have the latest news up ASAP.

  24. 24.   justcorbly Says:
    September 29th, 2008 at 4:15 pm

    Too bad we didn’t make the first space telescope part of an actually useful space station crewed by, I dunno, engineers and actual astronomers, with a big supply of spare parts.

    Just sayin …

  25. 25.   John Schroeder Says:
    September 29th, 2008 at 4:16 pm

    QUOTE[If side B does work, can they swap out side A so that there’s a backuo next time this happens?/]QUOTE

    Anybody got the answer to this?

  26. 26.   Johnny Vector Says:
    September 29th, 2008 at 4:21 pm

    @John Schroeder:

    See the third paragraph of my comment above.

  27. 27.   Gonzo Says:
    September 29th, 2008 at 4:29 pm

    I think Tom Petty said it best: “It’s time to move on.”

  28. 28.   Drew Says:
    September 29th, 2008 at 4:31 pm

    @ Johnny Vector, and Phil:

    I understand what you are saying, however, if it is important enough to have a backup, then it is also important enough to test that backup in order to make sure it works. To simply leave it idle for 18+ years, well, you may as well have engineered the whole thing with no backup.

    I work with critical communication systems for alot of buisness and government offices. If they have a backup, it is tested. Where buisnesses and hospitals etc. have generators, those generators are fired up and brought online.

    If you haven’t seen it work, you can’t trust it. If you can’t trust it, it isn’t a backup.

    RE: Except that switching over takes several days of downtime, because you want to do it carefully.

    Sure beats a downtime of several months, or worse…

  29. 29.   Johnny Vector Says:
    September 29th, 2008 at 4:54 pm

    Drew, you’re missing the point. What do you do if you test your backup system doesn’t work? Okay, now answer that question again, only this time your backup system is inaccessible. See the difference? If you can’t fix the backup system, there’s no point in testing it.

    As I mentioned, in the case of Hubble it’s not quite so clear-cut, because you actually can fix it on the next servicing mission. (And as Phil pointed out, it was tested before launch, when it could be fixed if problems were found.) However, there are still reasons not to make the switch. Switching to the backup side is not risk-free. The spacecraft is a very complex system of systems, and regardless of the cleverness of its designers it is never easy to switch something like that over to the backup side. It takes numerous commands, and there is always the possibility that you send an incorrect command and make things worse. You can mess up the attitude, accidentally point the optics at the sun (in some cases even the bright earth can damage detectors, though I don’t know if that’s true of any HST detectors), blow fuses, etc. Check out the story of the SOHO spacecraft for an example of what can happen if you send an incorrect command.

    And as it turns out, things just aren’t as reliable in space. It’s distressingly common for relays to fail in surprising ways. So unless you have a reason to switch to the other side, when a service call costs upward of $500 million, you generally don’t want to risk trying to switch over. Sometimes when you switch, the relay fails and you can’t switch back.

    Also, even for Hubble, if you switch, find the backup has failed, and then switch back, you either have to do that test (with the risk of losing the whole shebang) 1-2 years ahead of the next servicing mission, or build and maintain a complete backup unit, which is not cheap. And you have to do that for dozens of units on the spacecraft, since you don’t know what might fail next.

    Now me personally, I think many spacecraft managers do err on the side of not doing anything, even when it makes marginal sense from an engineering perspective, but that is not what happened here.

  30. 30.   Daniel Says:
    September 30th, 2008 at 12:34 am

    GloomyGus, that was John Aaron (a very competent guy).

  31. 31.   Daniel Says:
    September 30th, 2008 at 4:48 am

    I hope they can fix it. It would be sad to see Hubble go. :(

  32. 32.   Mick Says:
    September 30th, 2008 at 3:54 pm

    Y’know, the Hubble did great work, and I won’t deny that.

    But by now its old and its obviously failing.

    Now hunams may have emotional attachments to things, but I think in this case it might be more logical to work on a new telescope, with improved technology. A new one to replace the Hubble, rather then to keep repairing it.

    Wasn’t there such a plan at one point anyway?

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