<?xml version="1.0" encoding="UTF-8"?><rss version="2.0"
	xmlns:content="http://purl.org/rss/1.0/modules/content/"
	xmlns:dc="http://purl.org/dc/elements/1.1/"
	xmlns:atom="http://www.w3.org/2005/Atom"
	xmlns:sy="http://purl.org/rss/1.0/modules/syndication/"
		>
<channel>
	<title>Comments on: Death by meteorite</title>
	<atom:link href="http://blogs.discovermagazine.com/badastronomy/2008/10/13/death-by-meteorite/feed/" rel="self" type="application/rss+xml" />
	<link>http://blogs.discovermagazine.com/badastronomy/2008/10/13/death-by-meteorite/</link>
	<description>I am an astronomer, writer, and skeptic. I likes reality the way it is, and I aims to keep it that way. My real name is Phil Plait, and I run the Bad Astronomy blog.</description>
	<lastBuildDate>Tue, 14 Feb 2012 15:05:27 +0000</lastBuildDate>
	<sy:updatePeriod>hourly</sy:updatePeriod>
	<sy:updateFrequency>1</sy:updateFrequency>
	<generator>http://wordpress.org/?v=3.2.1</generator>
	<item>
		<title>By: Risques météoritiques &#124; Pourquoi Comment Combien</title>
		<link>http://blogs.discovermagazine.com/badastronomy/2008/10/13/death-by-meteorite/comment-page-3/#comment-472632</link>
		<dc:creator>Risques météoritiques &#124; Pourquoi Comment Combien</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sat, 28 Jan 2012 15:29:49 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://blogs.discovermagazine.com/badastronomy/2008/10/13/death-by-meteorite/#comment-472632</guid>
		<description>[...] autre côté, Bad Astronomer estime que ce risque n&#039;est pas négligeable : puisque la probabilité qu&#039;une météorite géante [...]</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>[...] autre côté, Bad Astronomer estime que ce risque n&#039;est pas négligeable : puisque la probabilité qu&#039;une météorite géante [...]</p>
]]></content:encoded>
	</item>
	<item>
		<title>By: What Are The Odds? &#171; Hugh Paxton&#039;s Blog</title>
		<link>http://blogs.discovermagazine.com/badastronomy/2008/10/13/death-by-meteorite/comment-page-3/#comment-460232</link>
		<dc:creator>What Are The Odds? &#171; Hugh Paxton&#039;s Blog</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 26 Dec 2011 15:54:05 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://blogs.discovermagazine.com/badastronomy/2008/10/13/death-by-meteorite/#comment-460232</guid>
		<description>[...] http://blogs.discovermagazine.com/badastronomy/2008/10/13/death-by-meteorite/ [...]</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>[...] <a href="http://blogs.discovermagazine.com/badastronomy/2008/10/13/death-by-meteorite/" rel="nofollow">http://blogs.discovermagazine.com/badastronomy/2008/10/13/death-by-meteorite/</a> [...]</p>
]]></content:encoded>
	</item>
	<item>
		<title>By: Fermi al rescate: de meteoritos, Gordos de Lotería y probabilidades &#124; Tras el horizonte de sucesos</title>
		<link>http://blogs.discovermagazine.com/badastronomy/2008/10/13/death-by-meteorite/comment-page-3/#comment-458289</link>
		<dc:creator>Fermi al rescate: de meteoritos, Gordos de Lotería y probabilidades &#124; Tras el horizonte de sucesos</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 21 Dec 2011 20:56:32 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://blogs.discovermagazine.com/badastronomy/2008/10/13/death-by-meteorite/#comment-458289</guid>
		<description>[...] expansiva y demás —probabilidad que, dependiendo de la estimación, está entre 1 en 20.000 y 1 entre 700.000; ambas comparables a la probabilidad de que mañana te toque el Gordo en la Lotería de Navidad—, [...]</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>[...] expansiva y demás —probabilidad que, dependiendo de la estimación, está entre 1 en 20.000 y 1 entre 700.000; ambas comparables a la probabilidad de que mañana te toque el Gordo en la Lotería de Navidad—, [...]</p>
]]></content:encoded>
	</item>
	<item>
		<title>By: It’s Raining WHAT? (Part Two) &#171; Dave&#039;s Weather Blog</title>
		<link>http://blogs.discovermagazine.com/badastronomy/2008/10/13/death-by-meteorite/comment-page-3/#comment-427789</link>
		<dc:creator>It’s Raining WHAT? (Part Two) &#171; Dave&#039;s Weather Blog</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 11 Oct 2011 22:23:40 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://blogs.discovermagazine.com/badastronomy/2008/10/13/death-by-meteorite/#comment-427789</guid>
		<description>[...] to astronomer Alan Harris, a person has a one in 700,000 chance of being killed by a meteorite, or experiencing a fatal [...]</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>[...] to astronomer Alan Harris, a person has a one in 700,000 chance of being killed by a meteorite, or experiencing a fatal [...]</p>
]]></content:encoded>
	</item>
	<item>
		<title>By: Argentinian guy</title>
		<link>http://blogs.discovermagazine.com/badastronomy/2008/10/13/death-by-meteorite/comment-page-3/#comment-422710</link>
		<dc:creator>Argentinian guy</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 26 Sep 2011 23:25:00 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://blogs.discovermagazine.com/badastronomy/2008/10/13/death-by-meteorite/#comment-422710</guid>
		<description>It seems like it happened today in Argentina? First time in the story?</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>It seems like it happened today in Argentina? First time in the story?</p>
]]></content:encoded>
	</item>
	<item>
		<title>By: REVIEW: Battle: Los Angeles &#124; ScriptPhD</title>
		<link>http://blogs.discovermagazine.com/badastronomy/2008/10/13/death-by-meteorite/comment-page-3/#comment-366416</link>
		<dc:creator>REVIEW: Battle: Los Angeles &#124; ScriptPhD</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 10 Mar 2011 22:06:39 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://blogs.discovermagazine.com/badastronomy/2008/10/13/death-by-meteorite/#comment-366416</guid>
		<description>[...] and developing NEO detection technology, your chances of actually dying from a meteorite, as calculated by astronomer Alan Harris, are 1 in 700,000, ranking right up there with dying at an amusement park ride. And as for [...]</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>[...] and developing NEO detection technology, your chances of actually dying from a meteorite, as calculated by astronomer Alan Harris, are 1 in 700,000, ranking right up there with dying at an amusement park ride. And as for [...]</p>
]]></content:encoded>
	</item>
	<item>
		<title>By: Falling from the Left &#187; Blog Archive &#187; Can Firearms Be Made Safer? - I feel the time has come to think.</title>
		<link>http://blogs.discovermagazine.com/badastronomy/2008/10/13/death-by-meteorite/comment-page-3/#comment-349142</link>
		<dc:creator>Falling from the Left &#187; Blog Archive &#187; Can Firearms Be Made Safer? - I feel the time has come to think.</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 28 Dec 2010 17:50:26 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://blogs.discovermagazine.com/badastronomy/2008/10/13/death-by-meteorite/#comment-349142</guid>
		<description>[...] That is a very small number. In fact, it&#8217;s only 3 times larger than the probability of being killed by an asteroid impact. You see, 270 million firearms aren&#8217;t going to disappear overnight. Even after adding new [...]</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>[...] That is a very small number. In fact, it&#8217;s only 3 times larger than the probability of being killed by an asteroid impact. You see, 270 million firearms aren&#8217;t going to disappear overnight. Even after adding new [...]</p>
]]></content:encoded>
	</item>
	<item>
		<title>By: Number of people killed by meteorites</title>
		<link>http://blogs.discovermagazine.com/badastronomy/2008/10/13/death-by-meteorite/comment-page-3/#comment-318537</link>
		<dc:creator>Number of people killed by meteorites</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 12 Oct 2010 13:11:37 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://blogs.discovermagazine.com/badastronomy/2008/10/13/death-by-meteorite/#comment-318537</guid>
		<description>[...] Odds of being killed by a meteorite [...]</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>[...] Odds of being killed by a meteorite [...]</p>
]]></content:encoded>
	</item>
	<item>
		<title>By: Aliens keep hitting same house with space rocks, but missing man they are targeting &#171; Xenophilia (True Strange Stuff)</title>
		<link>http://blogs.discovermagazine.com/badastronomy/2008/10/13/death-by-meteorite/comment-page-2/#comment-284303</link>
		<dc:creator>Aliens keep hitting same house with space rocks, but missing man they are targeting &#171; Xenophilia (True Strange Stuff)</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 22 Jul 2010 06:49:35 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://blogs.discovermagazine.com/badastronomy/2008/10/13/death-by-meteorite/#comment-284303</guid>
		<description>[...] What are the odds of being killed by a meteor? It is slightly more likely that you will die from being hit by a meteor than in a terrorist attack&#8230; which is to say, don&#8217;t worry about it.  &#8221; Astronomer Alan Harris has made that calculation. Allowing for the number of Earth-crossing asteroids — the kind that can hit us because their orbits around the Sun intersect ours — as well as how much damage they can do (which depends on their size), he calculated that any person’s lifetime odds of being killed by an asteroid impact are about 1 in 700,000. &#8221; &#8211; discover [...]</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>[...] What are the odds of being killed by a meteor? It is slightly more likely that you will die from being hit by a meteor than in a terrorist attack&#8230; which is to say, don&#8217;t worry about it.  &#8221; Astronomer Alan Harris has made that calculation. Allowing for the number of Earth-crossing asteroids — the kind that can hit us because their orbits around the Sun intersect ours — as well as how much damage they can do (which depends on their size), he calculated that any person’s lifetime odds of being killed by an asteroid impact are about 1 in 700,000. &#8221; &#8211; discover [...]</p>
]]></content:encoded>
	</item>
	<item>
		<title>By: Morte por meteorito? &#124; Carlos Orsi</title>
		<link>http://blogs.discovermagazine.com/badastronomy/2008/10/13/death-by-meteorite/comment-page-2/#comment-270450</link>
		<dc:creator>Morte por meteorito? &#124; Carlos Orsi</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 01 Jun 2010 10:18:40 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://blogs.discovermagazine.com/badastronomy/2008/10/13/death-by-meteorite/#comment-270450</guid>
		<description>[...] sua vez, o astrônomo Phil Plait lembra que, se o risco de uma pessoa acabar atingida diretamente por um meteorito é desprezível, [...]</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>[...] sua vez, o astrônomo Phil Plait lembra que, se o risco de uma pessoa acabar atingida diretamente por um meteorito é desprezível, [...]</p>
]]></content:encoded>
	</item>
	<item>
		<title>By: What Are The Odds Of That? &#171; Net Advisor™</title>
		<link>http://blogs.discovermagazine.com/badastronomy/2008/10/13/death-by-meteorite/comment-page-2/#comment-262961</link>
		<dc:creator>What Are The Odds Of That? &#171; Net Advisor™</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 04 May 2010 21:46:28 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://blogs.discovermagazine.com/badastronomy/2008/10/13/death-by-meteorite/#comment-262961</guid>
		<description>[...] holes-in-one in a round  1 in 9,222,500 Odds of being attacked by a shark (USA)  1 in 8 million. Odds of 6 billion people killed by a giant asteroid  1 in 1.5 [...]</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>[...] holes-in-one in a round  1 in 9,222,500 Odds of being attacked by a shark (USA)  1 in 8 million. Odds of 6 billion people killed by a giant asteroid  1 in 1.5 [...]</p>
]]></content:encoded>
	</item>
	<item>
		<title>By: Can I Profit From 2012? &#171; Net Advisor™</title>
		<link>http://blogs.discovermagazine.com/badastronomy/2008/10/13/death-by-meteorite/comment-page-2/#comment-262960</link>
		<dc:creator>Can I Profit From 2012? &#171; Net Advisor™</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 04 May 2010 21:40:08 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://blogs.discovermagazine.com/badastronomy/2008/10/13/death-by-meteorite/#comment-262960</guid>
		<description>[...] or any other time, I have no idea. If I was to guess, the odds are low. Actually the odds are about 1 in 1.5 million. Read More: [What Are The Odds Of [...]</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>[...] or any other time, I have no idea. If I was to guess, the odds are low. Actually the odds are about 1 in 1.5 million. Read More: [What Are The Odds Of [...]</p>
]]></content:encoded>
	</item>
	<item>
		<title>By: Are we alone? - Science Forums</title>
		<link>http://blogs.discovermagazine.com/badastronomy/2008/10/13/death-by-meteorite/comment-page-2/#comment-246664</link>
		<dc:creator>Are we alone? - Science Forums</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sun, 14 Feb 2010 05:15:48 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://blogs.discovermagazine.com/badastronomy/2008/10/13/death-by-meteorite/#comment-246664</guid>
		<description>[...] (see the Tunguska link for how often and how big) If it was likely it would happen regularly.  Death by meteorite &#124; Bad Astronomy &#124; Discover Magazine As for &quot;are we alone&quot;, I would say absolutely not, the question is not are we alone but [...]</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>[...] (see the Tunguska link for how often and how big) If it was likely it would happen regularly.  Death by meteorite | Bad Astronomy | Discover Magazine As for &quot;are we alone&quot;, I would say absolutely not, the question is not are we alone but [...]</p>
]]></content:encoded>
	</item>
	<item>
		<title>By: Delta Flight 253: We Love to Freak and It Shows : Edward Champion&#8217;s Reluctant Habits</title>
		<link>http://blogs.discovermagazine.com/badastronomy/2008/10/13/death-by-meteorite/comment-page-2/#comment-235856</link>
		<dc:creator>Delta Flight 253: We Love to Freak and It Shows : Edward Champion&#8217;s Reluctant Habits</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 28 Dec 2009 16:58:36 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://blogs.discovermagazine.com/badastronomy/2008/10/13/death-by-meteorite/#comment-235856</guid>
		<description>[...] Chances that you will be killed by an asteroid: 1 in 700,000. (From astronomer Alan Harris, as reported at Discover) [...]</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>[...] Chances that you will be killed by an asteroid: 1 in 700,000. (From astronomer Alan Harris, as reported at Discover) [...]</p>
]]></content:encoded>
	</item>
	<item>
		<title>By: What Are Your Chances of Winning the Lottery? &#124; Following The Goods</title>
		<link>http://blogs.discovermagazine.com/badastronomy/2008/10/13/death-by-meteorite/comment-page-2/#comment-235279</link>
		<dc:creator>What Are Your Chances of Winning the Lottery? &#124; Following The Goods</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 24 Dec 2009 13:19:46 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://blogs.discovermagazine.com/badastronomy/2008/10/13/death-by-meteorite/#comment-235279</guid>
		<description>[...] a 1 in 50,000 chance of becoming a professional athlete, a 1 in 700,000 chance of being killed by a meteorite, and a 1 in 118,351 chance of dying due to a medical [...]</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>[...] a 1 in 50,000 chance of becoming a professional athlete, a 1 in 700,000 chance of being killed by a meteorite, and a 1 in 118,351 chance of dying due to a medical [...]</p>
]]></content:encoded>
	</item>
	<item>
		<title>By: random guy</title>
		<link>http://blogs.discovermagazine.com/badastronomy/2008/10/13/death-by-meteorite/comment-page-2/#comment-224532</link>
		<dc:creator>random guy</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 04 Nov 2009 23:52:34 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://blogs.discovermagazine.com/badastronomy/2008/10/13/death-by-meteorite/#comment-224532</guid>
		<description>im not sure if anyone mentioned this (becuase there was far to much to read) but not only that from space our planet appears to be coverd in nats.From broken satalites and other debris so we have a sort of shield but not to mention(again) that we have comet swallowers(Gas Gaints(Iupitar,Satarn,Neptune,Uranis) in our solar system who will most likly prevent most  celestial bombardment.By (with there gravity) pulling of comets and larger meators(from out of our sytem)into them selves or out of our way.
</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>im not sure if anyone mentioned this (becuase there was far to much to read) but not only that from space our planet appears to be coverd in nats.From broken satalites and other debris so we have a sort of shield but not to mention(again) that we have comet swallowers(Gas Gaints(Iupitar,Satarn,Neptune,Uranis) in our solar system who will most likly prevent most  celestial bombardment.By (with there gravity) pulling of comets and larger meators(from out of our sytem)into them selves or out of our way.</p>
]]></content:encoded>
	</item>
	<item>
		<title>By: Melvin Goldstein</title>
		<link>http://blogs.discovermagazine.com/badastronomy/2008/10/13/death-by-meteorite/comment-page-2/#comment-149450</link>
		<dc:creator>Melvin Goldstein</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 19 Jan 2009 16:46:32 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://blogs.discovermagazine.com/badastronomy/2008/10/13/death-by-meteorite/#comment-149450</guid>
		<description>Question: question 12 in “Thinking Physics” – page 259
Inside a warm damp cave completely sealed off from the outside world could life flourish indefinitely?



Answer: No life forms could flourish indefinitely. In an isolated system, entropy always increases. Life tries to push entropy in the opposite direction. When life is created, entropy decreases in the cave but nature demands a greater entropy increase offset. The cave, being sealed, would mean that entropy would reach its max, thus energy necessary to sustain and generate new life would be unavailable. Maybe we should learn a lesson from this. Available energy is mandatory. Wealth may equate to available energy. If you want to live in a nation that is prospering make sure that its available energy supply is abundant.

Entropy is one of &quot;Physics Foibles&quot;</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Question: question 12 in “Thinking Physics” – page 259<br />
Inside a warm damp cave completely sealed off from the outside world could life flourish indefinitely?</p>
<p>Answer: No life forms could flourish indefinitely. In an isolated system, entropy always increases. Life tries to push entropy in the opposite direction. When life is created, entropy decreases in the cave but nature demands a greater entropy increase offset. The cave, being sealed, would mean that entropy would reach its max, thus energy necessary to sustain and generate new life would be unavailable. Maybe we should learn a lesson from this. Available energy is mandatory. Wealth may equate to available energy. If you want to live in a nation that is prospering make sure that its available energy supply is abundant.</p>
<p>Entropy is one of &#8220;Physics Foibles&#8221;</p>
]]></content:encoded>
	</item>
	<item>
		<title>By: StevoR</title>
		<link>http://blogs.discovermagazine.com/badastronomy/2008/10/13/death-by-meteorite/comment-page-2/#comment-126600</link>
		<dc:creator>StevoR</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sat, 18 Oct 2008 13:11:50 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://blogs.discovermagazine.com/badastronomy/2008/10/13/death-by-meteorite/#comment-126600</guid>
		<description>Thanks Tom. :-) 

Your answers are appreciated. :-)</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Thanks Tom. <img src='http://blogs.discovermagazine.com/badastronomy/wp-includes/images/smilies/icon_smile.gif' alt=':-)' class='wp-smiley' />  </p>
<p>Your answers are appreciated. <img src='http://blogs.discovermagazine.com/badastronomy/wp-includes/images/smilies/icon_smile.gif' alt=':-)' class='wp-smiley' /> </p>
]]></content:encoded>
	</item>
	<item>
		<title>By: Tom Marking</title>
		<link>http://blogs.discovermagazine.com/badastronomy/2008/10/13/death-by-meteorite/comment-page-2/#comment-126187</link>
		<dc:creator>Tom Marking</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 16 Oct 2008 18:49:34 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://blogs.discovermagazine.com/badastronomy/2008/10/13/death-by-meteorite/#comment-126187</guid>
		<description>@StevoR: &quot;slamming the Near Earth Asteroids into Venus and using that as a terraforming tool either?&quot;

The problem is how much of the planetary atmosphere actually gets ejected from the planet?  For impactors less than ~100 km the answer is probably not much.  The ejecta travel through the atmosphere and may reach escape velocity.  That does not necessarily mean that they impart such a velocity to the gas molecules themselves.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>@StevoR: &#8220;slamming the Near Earth Asteroids into Venus and using that as a terraforming tool either?&#8221;</p>
<p>The problem is how much of the planetary atmosphere actually gets ejected from the planet?  For impactors less than ~100 km the answer is probably not much.  The ejecta travel through the atmosphere and may reach escape velocity.  That does not necessarily mean that they impart such a velocity to the gas molecules themselves.</p>
]]></content:encoded>
	</item>
	<item>
		<title>By: Tom Marking</title>
		<link>http://blogs.discovermagazine.com/badastronomy/2008/10/13/death-by-meteorite/comment-page-2/#comment-126185</link>
		<dc:creator>Tom Marking</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 16 Oct 2008 18:46:18 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://blogs.discovermagazine.com/badastronomy/2008/10/13/death-by-meteorite/#comment-126185</guid>
		<description>@StevoR: &quot;But Phil about that 10km *Comet* threat - any response? Please?&quot;

I think Phil has already moved on.  From what I can gather the cometary threat is poorly understood but it may be significant.  And we will not typically receive decades of warnings before impact as we do with asteroids.  For comets following nearly hyperbolic orbits the warning period may be only a matter of months.

http://www.lpl.arizona.edu/~marcus/CollinsEtAl2005.pdf

&quot;Currently, the relative importance of comets to the Earthcrossing impactor flux is not well-constrained. The Near-Earth Object Science Definition Team (2003) suggests that comets comprise only about 1% of the estimated population of small NEOs; however, there is evidence to suggest that, at larger sizes, comets may comprise a significantly larger proportion of
the impactor flux (Shoemaker et al. 1990).&quot;</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>@StevoR: &#8220;But Phil about that 10km *Comet* threat &#8211; any response? Please?&#8221;</p>
<p>I think Phil has already moved on.  From what I can gather the cometary threat is poorly understood but it may be significant.  And we will not typically receive decades of warnings before impact as we do with asteroids.  For comets following nearly hyperbolic orbits the warning period may be only a matter of months.</p>
<p><a href="http://www.lpl.arizona.edu/~marcus/CollinsEtAl2005.pdf" rel="nofollow">http://www.lpl.arizona.edu/~marcus/CollinsEtAl2005.pdf</a></p>
<p>&#8220;Currently, the relative importance of comets to the Earthcrossing impactor flux is not well-constrained. The Near-Earth Object Science Definition Team (2003) suggests that comets comprise only about 1% of the estimated population of small NEOs; however, there is evidence to suggest that, at larger sizes, comets may comprise a significantly larger proportion of<br />
the impactor flux (Shoemaker et al. 1990).&#8221;</p>
]]></content:encoded>
	</item>
	<item>
		<title>By: StevoR</title>
		<link>http://blogs.discovermagazine.com/badastronomy/2008/10/13/death-by-meteorite/comment-page-2/#comment-126078</link>
		<dc:creator>StevoR</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 16 Oct 2008 12:48:50 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://blogs.discovermagazine.com/badastronomy/2008/10/13/death-by-meteorite/#comment-126078</guid>
		<description>I thouyght I had thepicture with saying it was from : 

&lt;i&gt;&quot;Filming ‘Independence Day’ movie the bit where the saucer crashes with Wil Smith either flying it or forcing the alien to crash! “I could’da been at a barbecque!” 

Am I right? &lt;/i&gt;

D&#039;oh! Turns out I&#039;m not. :-( 

But Phil about that 10km *Comet* threat - any response? Please? 

Oh &amp; no one has anything to say on slamming the Near Earth Asteroids into Venus and using that as a terraforming tool either? Is it too dumb or something in the idea or ..?</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>I thouyght I had thepicture with saying it was from : </p>
<p><i>&#8220;Filming ‘Independence Day’ movie the bit where the saucer crashes with Wil Smith either flying it or forcing the alien to crash! “I could’da been at a barbecque!” </p>
<p>Am I right? </i></p>
<p>D&#8217;oh! Turns out I&#8217;m not. <img src='http://blogs.discovermagazine.com/badastronomy/wp-includes/images/smilies/icon_sad.gif' alt=':-(' class='wp-smiley' />  </p>
<p>But Phil about that 10km *Comet* threat &#8211; any response? Please? </p>
<p>Oh &#038; no one has anything to say on slamming the Near Earth Asteroids into Venus and using that as a terraforming tool either? Is it too dumb or something in the idea or ..?</p>
]]></content:encoded>
	</item>
	<item>
		<title>By: K9 is always right</title>
		<link>http://blogs.discovermagazine.com/badastronomy/2008/10/13/death-by-meteorite/comment-page-2/#comment-126076</link>
		<dc:creator>K9 is always right</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 16 Oct 2008 12:41:52 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://blogs.discovermagazine.com/badastronomy/2008/10/13/death-by-meteorite/#comment-126076</guid>
		<description>shane Said on October 14th, 2008 at 5:14 am :

&lt;i&gt; &quot;The dinosaurs that pushed the KT event rock into the planet will be back… one day…&quot; &lt;/i&gt;

Yeah, that has already happened &amp; been stopped by the Doctor in Jon Pertwee incarnation  a coupleof times actually : the Silurians and the Sea Lizards. ;-)</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>shane Said on October 14th, 2008 at 5:14 am :</p>
<p><i> &#8220;The dinosaurs that pushed the KT event rock into the planet will be back… one day…&#8221; </i></p>
<p>Yeah, that has already happened &#038; been stopped by the Doctor in Jon Pertwee incarnation  a coupleof times actually : the Silurians and the Sea Lizards. <img src='http://blogs.discovermagazine.com/badastronomy/wp-includes/images/smilies/icon_wink.gif' alt=';-)' class='wp-smiley' /> </p>
]]></content:encoded>
	</item>
	<item>
		<title>By: Tom Marking</title>
		<link>http://blogs.discovermagazine.com/badastronomy/2008/10/13/death-by-meteorite/comment-page-2/#comment-125978</link>
		<dc:creator>Tom Marking</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 16 Oct 2008 03:20:33 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://blogs.discovermagazine.com/badastronomy/2008/10/13/death-by-meteorite/#comment-125978</guid>
		<description>@Gary Ansorge &quot;We are SOOO close to implementing the Dyson Type II civilization. All we need to do is make the commitment to go out and do it&quot;

Close?  Sure, if by close you mean off by a factor of 10 trillion.  We are currently a type 0.7 Kardashev civilization.  To get to type 2.0 status we need to increase our energy output by a factor of 1.0E13.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>@Gary Ansorge &#8220;We are SOOO close to implementing the Dyson Type II civilization. All we need to do is make the commitment to go out and do it&#8221;</p>
<p>Close?  Sure, if by close you mean off by a factor of 10 trillion.  We are currently a type 0.7 Kardashev civilization.  To get to type 2.0 status we need to increase our energy output by a factor of 1.0E13.</p>
]]></content:encoded>
	</item>
	<item>
		<title>By: Tom Marking</title>
		<link>http://blogs.discovermagazine.com/badastronomy/2008/10/13/death-by-meteorite/comment-page-2/#comment-125975</link>
		<dc:creator>Tom Marking</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 16 Oct 2008 03:13:40 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://blogs.discovermagazine.com/badastronomy/2008/10/13/death-by-meteorite/#comment-125975</guid>
		<description>&quot;I’m a little confused. You say the odds of death by meteorite are something like 1 in 700,000 for any living person. Doesn’t that mean that of the 6,550,000,000 people currently alive that something like 9,300 of those people (6.55 Billion/7 Hundred Thousand) will die by meteorite?&quot;

No, that&#039;s the wrong way to think about it.  The probability that any given human being is killed by an asteroid or a comet of 1 in 700,000 (more likely to by 1 in 15,000 as I&#039;ve shown) is dominated by extremely rare events (i.e., impacts of large objects).  If you included just the small impactors (100 meters or less in size) then the odds are reduced by a factor of 20.  So the events that are likely to actually happen within a person&#039;s lifetime make up only 5 percent or less of the statistic.  The extremely rare events make up 95 percent of the statistic, even though they never happened in your lifetime, your father&#039;s lifetime, your grandfather&#039;s lifetime, or even during recorded history.

That doesn&#039;t change the statistic at all.  The assumption that these events never occurred during all of human history and therefore can never occur in the future, is entirely an illusion.  Tomorrow may be entirely different than anything anyone has ever experienced before.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>&#8220;I’m a little confused. You say the odds of death by meteorite are something like 1 in 700,000 for any living person. Doesn’t that mean that of the 6,550,000,000 people currently alive that something like 9,300 of those people (6.55 Billion/7 Hundred Thousand) will die by meteorite?&#8221;</p>
<p>No, that&#8217;s the wrong way to think about it.  The probability that any given human being is killed by an asteroid or a comet of 1 in 700,000 (more likely to by 1 in 15,000 as I&#8217;ve shown) is dominated by extremely rare events (i.e., impacts of large objects).  If you included just the small impactors (100 meters or less in size) then the odds are reduced by a factor of 20.  So the events that are likely to actually happen within a person&#8217;s lifetime make up only 5 percent or less of the statistic.  The extremely rare events make up 95 percent of the statistic, even though they never happened in your lifetime, your father&#8217;s lifetime, your grandfather&#8217;s lifetime, or even during recorded history.</p>
<p>That doesn&#8217;t change the statistic at all.  The assumption that these events never occurred during all of human history and therefore can never occur in the future, is entirely an illusion.  Tomorrow may be entirely different than anything anyone has ever experienced before.</p>
]]></content:encoded>
	</item>
	<item>
		<title>By: Jim S</title>
		<link>http://blogs.discovermagazine.com/badastronomy/2008/10/13/death-by-meteorite/comment-page-2/#comment-125808</link>
		<dc:creator>Jim S</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 15 Oct 2008 18:34:09 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://blogs.discovermagazine.com/badastronomy/2008/10/13/death-by-meteorite/#comment-125808</guid>
		<description>I&#039;m a little confused. You say the odds of death by meteorite are something like 1 in 700,000 for any living person. Doesn&#039;t that mean that of the 6,550,000,000 people currently alive that something like 9,300 of those people (6.55 Billion/7 Hundred Thousand) will die by meteorite? Nothing like that many people have died by meteorite in the past century! A quick google search showed the last meteor that struck someone fell in 1954 (admittedly, a hasty search that was in no way thorough), and she lived (the woman, not the meteor)! By contrast, close to three thousand Americans were killed by terrorists in the past decade. If you are an American who was alive then, the chance you were one of those in 2001 that died was 1 in a little over a one hundred thousand (280+ Million Americans in 2001/approximately 2750 dead at the WTC). Worldwide, the chance drops to 1 in 2.2 million (6 Billion/2750). This estimate is lower than the 1 in 700,000 number, but I&#039;m still wondering how that estimate was reached in the first place. Further note that I haven&#039;t bothered to include the deaths from the Bali bombings, the Marines killed in a disco in Lebanon in the &#039;80&#039;s, the plane that crashed into the Pentagon or any of the many smaller terrorist attacks of the past 50 years.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>I&#8217;m a little confused. You say the odds of death by meteorite are something like 1 in 700,000 for any living person. Doesn&#8217;t that mean that of the 6,550,000,000 people currently alive that something like 9,300 of those people (6.55 Billion/7 Hundred Thousand) will die by meteorite? Nothing like that many people have died by meteorite in the past century! A quick google search showed the last meteor that struck someone fell in 1954 (admittedly, a hasty search that was in no way thorough), and she lived (the woman, not the meteor)! By contrast, close to three thousand Americans were killed by terrorists in the past decade. If you are an American who was alive then, the chance you were one of those in 2001 that died was 1 in a little over a one hundred thousand (280+ Million Americans in 2001/approximately 2750 dead at the WTC). Worldwide, the chance drops to 1 in 2.2 million (6 Billion/2750). This estimate is lower than the 1 in 700,000 number, but I&#8217;m still wondering how that estimate was reached in the first place. Further note that I haven&#8217;t bothered to include the deaths from the Bali bombings, the Marines killed in a disco in Lebanon in the &#8217;80&#8242;s, the plane that crashed into the Pentagon or any of the many smaller terrorist attacks of the past 50 years.</p>
]]></content:encoded>
	</item>
</channel>
</rss>

<!-- Performance optimized by W3 Total Cache. Learn more: http://www.w3-edge.com/wordpress-plugins/

Minified using disk
Page Caching using disk

Served from: blogs.discovermagazine.com @ 2012-02-14 15:07:39 -->
