Comments on: Prediction Contest Results!

By: Gabe

Gabe — Thu, 27 Nov 2008 21:16:29 +0000

Ah, cool! Looks like I was 3rd.

Not bad for a random guess with little prior thought.

By: anonymous37

anonymous37 — Wed, 19 Nov 2008 00:33:57 +0000

Wait, the winner is only part of it. Shouldn’t you rank everyone else in order so we can see who came in 2nd, 3rd, as so on? How will we determine bragging rights otherwise?

By: Anonymous Snowboarder

Anonymous Snowboarder — Wed, 19 Nov 2008 00:29:09 +0000

A t-shirt! this is getting better all the time… Sean I sent you a private email
to the address listed for you on the website.

Cheers

By: somebody

somebody — Mon, 17 Nov 2008 17:29:43 +0000

Looks from the curves that Reverend Wright was in effect for a month, but Sarah Palin… for what? A week? A few days?

PS: somebody != Somebody.

By: joulesm

joulesm — Mon, 17 Nov 2008 15:00:17 +0000

Wooo!! How exciting

By: Elliot

Elliot — Sun, 16 Nov 2008 12:13:57 +0000

Congratulations Snowboarder,

I thought I had a shot but as the votes kept coming in and crossed 53.3xxx, I knew I was out. But it was fun to be sure. As some consolation, I did win an election night electoral vote contest where I went 364 for Obama.

As an early Obama supporter, I sincerely hope that he will bring the country together.

Thanks to CV for doing this. Isn’t it about time for a College Basketball prediction pool to fill the void? Maybe pick the NCAA final four NOW or something like that?

By: Tim

Tim — Sun, 16 Nov 2008 00:27:51 +0000

Aww, I was so close. Also, if we use Obama’s percentage counting third parties, 52.7, it is also very very close to my prediction.

Next time!

By: Sean

Sean — Sun, 16 Nov 2008 00:01:19 +0000

AS, don’t despair. With scientific proof of your prognostication skills, you can surely make a lot of cash as a consultant.

Let us know your T-shirt size, if you’d like to collect a prize.

By: Anonymous Snowboarder

Anonymous Snowboarder — Sat, 15 Nov 2008 23:40:48 +0000

Yes, that is me.. Bee at Backreaction can attest to that Wow… shocking! I’m up here in VT for a few days (doing a tax appeal on my winter condo) and just sat down to take a spin thru the blogs and saw the post.

I’ve posted my website (hence I guess I’m no longer anonymous if anyone really
wants to dig around). I was involved in the Ron Paul campaign last year and have always been a politcal junkie, polls in particular. Ironically, I dragged the assistant leader of my RP group is here too.. (why are you shouting!?!). Here is an example of my past poll geekery

http://www.gedankenexperiment.dk/pivot/entry.php?id=453&w=rant

Sadly (?) my blogging has dropped off quite a bit the past year, I think largely out of burnout from the RP effort and subsequent events. Being an ‘R’ and seeing the party
go down the tubes was painful – I even gave up trying to talk any sense into the Redstaters as it became a depressing exercise in frustration.

Cheers,

semi-anonymous Snowboarder

By: Sean

Sean — Sat, 15 Nov 2008 22:23:23 +0000

Zoomed plots are here. More usefully, Mathematica code is here. Plot to your heart's content!