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	<title>Comments on: Sufficient Reason</title>
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	<link>http://blogs.discovermagazine.com/cosmicvariance/2008/11/23/sufficient-reason/</link>
	<description>Random samplings from a universe of ideas.</description>
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		<title>By: Mark</title>
		<link>http://blogs.discovermagazine.com/cosmicvariance/2008/11/23/sufficient-reason/comment-page-1/#comment-52991</link>
		<dc:creator>Mark</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 17 Dec 2008 16:56:48 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://blogs.discovermagazine.com/cosmicvariance/2008/11/23/sufficient-reason/#comment-52991</guid>
		<description>Personally, I&#039;m not entirely comfortable with ethics (or morality) derived from a purely materialistic basis. 

I&#039;m not really sure, either, what &quot;enlightened&quot; materialism would be. I&#039;ve heard of &quot;enlightened&quot; self-interest as well, but it seems in both cases, the use of the word &quot;enlightened&quot; is more a dressing to make something sound better. It&#039;s more akin to marketing jingle words.

I wonder also what enlightenment might be, in materialism. I suppose you could say that something enlightened was sufficiently advanced in logical terms, and get away with it. But in materialism, could I be enlightened materialistically? 

It&#039;s strange - something being enlightened has a metaphysical quality associated with it. Yet we&#039;re applying it to materialism. What is enlightened here, when we talk about it?

Smart materialism, and the abstraction of ethics that can grow out of it? Can a machine mind create an abstraction, like ethics, and have it be material?

As for the notion of things just being as they are, with no reason... sure, I think you can have that. But it&#039;s also a very lazy and dangerous cop-out, unless you&#039;re really certain.

Well, I just sound all negative here, don&#039;t I? Sean, you know I love just about everything you do here. Well, at least you do now. I learn a lot, and I appreciate your sharing, greatly.

This is a little bizarre, though. I&#039;m curious, are you looking for some excuses for something? Some wriggle room somewhere?</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Personally, I&#8217;m not entirely comfortable with ethics (or morality) derived from a purely materialistic basis. </p>
<p>I&#8217;m not really sure, either, what &#8220;enlightened&#8221; materialism would be. I&#8217;ve heard of &#8220;enlightened&#8221; self-interest as well, but it seems in both cases, the use of the word &#8220;enlightened&#8221; is more a dressing to make something sound better. It&#8217;s more akin to marketing jingle words.</p>
<p>I wonder also what enlightenment might be, in materialism. I suppose you could say that something enlightened was sufficiently advanced in logical terms, and get away with it. But in materialism, could I be enlightened materialistically? </p>
<p>It&#8217;s strange &#8211; something being enlightened has a metaphysical quality associated with it. Yet we&#8217;re applying it to materialism. What is enlightened here, when we talk about it?</p>
<p>Smart materialism, and the abstraction of ethics that can grow out of it? Can a machine mind create an abstraction, like ethics, and have it be material?</p>
<p>As for the notion of things just being as they are, with no reason&#8230; sure, I think you can have that. But it&#8217;s also a very lazy and dangerous cop-out, unless you&#8217;re really certain.</p>
<p>Well, I just sound all negative here, don&#8217;t I? Sean, you know I love just about everything you do here. Well, at least you do now. I learn a lot, and I appreciate your sharing, greatly.</p>
<p>This is a little bizarre, though. I&#8217;m curious, are you looking for some excuses for something? Some wriggle room somewhere?</p>
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		<title>By: Neil B</title>
		<link>http://blogs.discovermagazine.com/cosmicvariance/2008/11/23/sufficient-reason/comment-page-1/#comment-49467</link>
		<dc:creator>Neil B</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 26 Nov 2008 01:09:04 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://blogs.discovermagazine.com/cosmicvariance/2008/11/23/sufficient-reason/#comment-49467</guid>
		<description>PS: Not only the problem of &quot;laws&quot; changing, but in MR we expect to find ourselves in a universe with ugly irregularities like slight variation in charge and mass of fundamental particles, etc.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>PS: Not only the problem of &#8220;laws&#8221; changing, but in MR we expect to find ourselves in a universe with ugly irregularities like slight variation in charge and mass of fundamental particles, etc.</p>
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		<title>By: Neil B</title>
		<link>http://blogs.discovermagazine.com/cosmicvariance/2008/11/23/sufficient-reason/comment-page-1/#comment-49466</link>
		<dc:creator>Neil B</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 26 Nov 2008 01:06:46 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://blogs.discovermagazine.com/cosmicvariance/2008/11/23/sufficient-reason/#comment-49466</guid>
		<description>Otis, I think that ultimately you are right.  It just doesn&#039;t make sense for something as ultimately abstract as &quot;existence&quot; to be conditioned in terms of certain specific laws, and for the other &quot;possible worlds&quot; not to &quot;exist.&quot;  So last (so far) but not least, here goes yet another excursion by Neil B into modal realism and ultimate reality!

My critique of many universes with differing constants as an answer to
1. fine-tuning for life, and
2.the ultimate POSR problem of why this possible world is blessed to &quot;&#039;exist&quot; and others not: Where does it end? How many different kinds of reality are allowed to &quot;exist&quot;? What and why underlies the Über-laws&quot; that determine the variation and scope of the other (more direct) &quot;laws&quot;, and what circumscribes the scope of &quot;possible existence&quot;? Modal realists make the cogent critique, that it doesn&#039;t make sense at the highest level of abstraction for one &quot;possible world&quot; to &quot;exist&quot; and not other ones. (As I have said, it&#039;s like the number 23 made into brass numerals while all the other ones remain abstractions - why &quot;23&quot; and not &quot;15&quot; or indeed all numbers reified, or none at all?)

Indeed, they reject the very notion of &quot;reification&quot; as a genuine distinction at all. To them, every world in &quot;Platonic reality&quot; exists so as to avoid the violation of the grandest, existential principle of sufficient reason. Yes, that would mean cartoon type worlds and the adventures of Sherlock Holmes. (Look up on Wikipedia.)

Well, that seems the perfect solution to fine-tuning (and so says Max Tegmark), since then every possible universe that can even be described at all exists/doesn&#039;treallyexist and we are in a lucky one.

But, I have a complaint which is also an argument for Goddidit: if every possible description is as real, then all the ones that involve irregular variations are as well. After all, &quot;laws&quot; are given after the fact if things are just &quot;descriptions&quot; with no inner &lt;i&gt;virtus&lt;/i&gt; to &quot;make&quot; them so: if the forces follow 1/r^2, then we say pretentiously that they are &quot;governed&quot; by that law. But, it&#039;s the other way around: that&#039;s what things act like, so we are able to write that law. If they didn&#039;t act like that, then we couldn&#039;t.

The objection might be, we wouldn&#039;t have developed in a disorderly universe to start with. Sure, but Platonic descriptions include all the cases where things are orderly up to a point and &lt;i&gt;then&lt;/i&gt; behave differently afterward (effectively, laws that change in all possible ways - which are part of Platonic reality too since we can say what would happen, however weird to us.)

Since the range of variations is more than the orderly continuations: even if the world had incredibly remained orderly enough to nurture our development, we have a vanishingly small Bayesian expectation of continuing in a world that remains orderly. That is given that &quot;laws&quot; in modal realism would be after the fact generalizations, not enforcements in any sense. Since we are in an orderly universe, that looks like &quot;Goddidit&quot; since some overarching &quot;management&quot; has to step into the Platonic mess.

tyrannogenius</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Otis, I think that ultimately you are right.  It just doesn&#8217;t make sense for something as ultimately abstract as &#8220;existence&#8221; to be conditioned in terms of certain specific laws, and for the other &#8220;possible worlds&#8221; not to &#8220;exist.&#8221;  So last (so far) but not least, here goes yet another excursion by Neil B into modal realism and ultimate reality!</p>
<p>My critique of many universes with differing constants as an answer to<br />
1. fine-tuning for life, and<br />
2.the ultimate POSR problem of why this possible world is blessed to &#8220;&#8216;exist&#8221; and others not: Where does it end? How many different kinds of reality are allowed to &#8220;exist&#8221;? What and why underlies the Über-laws&#8221; that determine the variation and scope of the other (more direct) &#8220;laws&#8221;, and what circumscribes the scope of &#8220;possible existence&#8221;? Modal realists make the cogent critique, that it doesn&#8217;t make sense at the highest level of abstraction for one &#8220;possible world&#8221; to &#8220;exist&#8221; and not other ones. (As I have said, it&#8217;s like the number 23 made into brass numerals while all the other ones remain abstractions &#8211; why &#8220;23&#8243; and not &#8220;15&#8243; or indeed all numbers reified, or none at all?)</p>
<p>Indeed, they reject the very notion of &#8220;reification&#8221; as a genuine distinction at all. To them, every world in &#8220;Platonic reality&#8221; exists so as to avoid the violation of the grandest, existential principle of sufficient reason. Yes, that would mean cartoon type worlds and the adventures of Sherlock Holmes. (Look up on Wikipedia.)</p>
<p>Well, that seems the perfect solution to fine-tuning (and so says Max Tegmark), since then every possible universe that can even be described at all exists/doesn&#8217;treallyexist and we are in a lucky one.</p>
<p>But, I have a complaint which is also an argument for Goddidit: if every possible description is as real, then all the ones that involve irregular variations are as well. After all, &#8220;laws&#8221; are given after the fact if things are just &#8220;descriptions&#8221; with no inner <i>virtus</i> to &#8220;make&#8221; them so: if the forces follow 1/r^2, then we say pretentiously that they are &#8220;governed&#8221; by that law. But, it&#8217;s the other way around: that&#8217;s what things act like, so we are able to write that law. If they didn&#8217;t act like that, then we couldn&#8217;t.</p>
<p>The objection might be, we wouldn&#8217;t have developed in a disorderly universe to start with. Sure, but Platonic descriptions include all the cases where things are orderly up to a point and <i>then</i> behave differently afterward (effectively, laws that change in all possible ways &#8211; which are part of Platonic reality too since we can say what would happen, however weird to us.)</p>
<p>Since the range of variations is more than the orderly continuations: even if the world had incredibly remained orderly enough to nurture our development, we have a vanishingly small Bayesian expectation of continuing in a world that remains orderly. That is given that &#8220;laws&#8221; in modal realism would be after the fact generalizations, not enforcements in any sense. Since we are in an orderly universe, that looks like &#8220;Goddidit&#8221; since some overarching &#8220;management&#8221; has to step into the Platonic mess.</p>
<p>tyrannogenius</p>
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		<title>By: Otis</title>
		<link>http://blogs.discovermagazine.com/cosmicvariance/2008/11/23/sufficient-reason/comment-page-1/#comment-49421</link>
		<dc:creator>Otis</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 25 Nov 2008 17:24:18 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://blogs.discovermagazine.com/cosmicvariance/2008/11/23/sufficient-reason/#comment-49421</guid>
		<description>So at what point would the scientific consensus conclude that certain &quot;brute facts&quot; cannot be understood and must therefore exist reasonlessly?  When do you know the &quot;ultimate rules&quot;?  What criteria should be applied to reach such a conclusion?  Sean&#039;s conjecture is naive and reveals the self-defeating nature of atheistic materialism.  Since that philosophy cannot explain why the universe is knowable and understandable by humans, it yearns for &quot;brute facts&quot; that just &quot;are,&quot; or in Stephen Weinberg&#039;s words, a universe that is absurd.  Sean imagines a mythical unexplained Super Turtle holding up a tower of turtles that supports the universe.

That super turtle representing &quot;brute facts&quot; will never be found by scientific investigation.  Appealing to randomness and chance does not work since the &#039;brute facts&quot; must by definition be unique and not part of a random process.  If they were, then where did the rules of that random process come from?  You are stuck with an infinite regress.  Atheistic materialism fails.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>So at what point would the scientific consensus conclude that certain &#8220;brute facts&#8221; cannot be understood and must therefore exist reasonlessly?  When do you know the &#8220;ultimate rules&#8221;?  What criteria should be applied to reach such a conclusion?  Sean&#8217;s conjecture is naive and reveals the self-defeating nature of atheistic materialism.  Since that philosophy cannot explain why the universe is knowable and understandable by humans, it yearns for &#8220;brute facts&#8221; that just &#8220;are,&#8221; or in Stephen Weinberg&#8217;s words, a universe that is absurd.  Sean imagines a mythical unexplained Super Turtle holding up a tower of turtles that supports the universe.</p>
<p>That super turtle representing &#8220;brute facts&#8221; will never be found by scientific investigation.  Appealing to randomness and chance does not work since the &#8216;brute facts&#8221; must by definition be unique and not part of a random process.  If they were, then where did the rules of that random process come from?  You are stuck with an infinite regress.  Atheistic materialism fails.</p>
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		<title>By: Daniel</title>
		<link>http://blogs.discovermagazine.com/cosmicvariance/2008/11/23/sufficient-reason/comment-page-1/#comment-49284</link>
		<dc:creator>Daniel</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 25 Nov 2008 01:35:19 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://blogs.discovermagazine.com/cosmicvariance/2008/11/23/sufficient-reason/#comment-49284</guid>
		<description>I&#039;m not a physicist, so I don&#039;t know.  But I know there are enormous difficulties in claiming that any event is truly random in the strictest sense.

Out of curiosity, how is it that physicists have demonstrated that there are events which are in fact completely unpredictable?  It&#039;s very easy to claim that, for instance, the flipping of a coin is completely unpredictable without knowing the presumed deterministic laws that govern it.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>I&#8217;m not a physicist, so I don&#8217;t know.  But I know there are enormous difficulties in claiming that any event is truly random in the strictest sense.</p>
<p>Out of curiosity, how is it that physicists have demonstrated that there are events which are in fact completely unpredictable?  It&#8217;s very easy to claim that, for instance, the flipping of a coin is completely unpredictable without knowing the presumed deterministic laws that govern it.</p>
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		<title>By: Neil B</title>
		<link>http://blogs.discovermagazine.com/cosmicvariance/2008/11/23/sufficient-reason/comment-page-1/#comment-49283</link>
		<dc:creator>Neil B</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 25 Nov 2008 01:24:32 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://blogs.discovermagazine.com/cosmicvariance/2008/11/23/sufficient-reason/#comment-49283</guid>
		<description>The PSR should not be confused with the idea that everything happens for a &quot;reason&quot; in the meaningfulness sense. It basically means, it is existentially peculiar for some features of reality to be blessed with being so, and others not.  It has a counterpart in &quot;symmetry&quot; arguments.  Of course random decay etc. already break PSR as far as causality for which moment in time, unless you believe in MW (see my comments in &quot;What if Time Really Exists?&quot;) Hence, Daniel above, were not not aware of quantum randomness or do you not agree with it - if not, why?</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>The PSR should not be confused with the idea that everything happens for a &#8220;reason&#8221; in the meaningfulness sense. It basically means, it is existentially peculiar for some features of reality to be blessed with being so, and others not.  It has a counterpart in &#8220;symmetry&#8221; arguments.  Of course random decay etc. already break PSR as far as causality for which moment in time, unless you believe in MW (see my comments in &#8220;What if Time Really Exists?&#8221;) Hence, Daniel above, were not not aware of quantum randomness or do you not agree with it &#8211; if not, why?</p>
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		<title>By: Daniel</title>
		<link>http://blogs.discovermagazine.com/cosmicvariance/2008/11/23/sufficient-reason/comment-page-1/#comment-49239</link>
		<dc:creator>Daniel</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 24 Nov 2008 18:52:51 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://blogs.discovermagazine.com/cosmicvariance/2008/11/23/sufficient-reason/#comment-49239</guid>
		<description>I think that to many people, this type of determinism that&#039;s implied by a Principle of Sufficient Reason is seen as a bad thing. (After all, we don&#039;t talk about Laplace&#039;s Angel)  For one, it&#039;s often assumed to preclude the possibility of free will. I happen to think this is wrong, and that it actually is possible to have free will even in a completely deterministic universe.  The idea is to simply note that the individual making the decision *is* whatever forces cause him to act in such and such a way.  To illustrate, consider that if a billiard ball had a mind, and when it was struck by another ball felt a genuine compulsion to move in the appropriate direction, and then acted accordingly.  We could meaningfully say that the billiard ball chose its behavior, since the mind of the billiard ball in a strange cognitive sense is &quot;becoming&quot; whatever law of nature causes it to move through perfect identification with it.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>I think that to many people, this type of determinism that&#8217;s implied by a Principle of Sufficient Reason is seen as a bad thing. (After all, we don&#8217;t talk about Laplace&#8217;s Angel)  For one, it&#8217;s often assumed to preclude the possibility of free will. I happen to think this is wrong, and that it actually is possible to have free will even in a completely deterministic universe.  The idea is to simply note that the individual making the decision *is* whatever forces cause him to act in such and such a way.  To illustrate, consider that if a billiard ball had a mind, and when it was struck by another ball felt a genuine compulsion to move in the appropriate direction, and then acted accordingly.  We could meaningfully say that the billiard ball chose its behavior, since the mind of the billiard ball in a strange cognitive sense is &#8220;becoming&#8221; whatever law of nature causes it to move through perfect identification with it.</p>
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		<title>By: Sean</title>
		<link>http://blogs.discovermagazine.com/cosmicvariance/2008/11/23/sufficient-reason/comment-page-1/#comment-49221</link>
		<dc:creator>Sean</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 24 Nov 2008 16:44:37 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://blogs.discovermagazine.com/cosmicvariance/2008/11/23/sufficient-reason/#comment-49221</guid>
		<description>One of the problems with something like the PSR is that it&#039;s very hard to define exactly what it means.  I don&#039;t have any strong ideas about what should really count as a &quot;reason,&quot; as I don&#039;t think there&#039;s any reason (ahem) to accept the PSR in the first place.

Daniel, I wasn&#039;t meaning to suggest that because this sunny philosophy had pernicious consequences, it must be incorrect.  I was just saying that it could have pernicious consequences, despite being apparently sunny.  That wouldn&#039;t matter, if the PSR were correct, but I don&#039;t think it is, for other reasons.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>One of the problems with something like the PSR is that it&#8217;s very hard to define exactly what it means.  I don&#8217;t have any strong ideas about what should really count as a &#8220;reason,&#8221; as I don&#8217;t think there&#8217;s any reason (ahem) to accept the PSR in the first place.</p>
<p>Daniel, I wasn&#8217;t meaning to suggest that because this sunny philosophy had pernicious consequences, it must be incorrect.  I was just saying that it could have pernicious consequences, despite being apparently sunny.  That wouldn&#8217;t matter, if the PSR were correct, but I don&#8217;t think it is, for other reasons.</p>
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		<title>By: Daniel</title>
		<link>http://blogs.discovermagazine.com/cosmicvariance/2008/11/23/sufficient-reason/comment-page-1/#comment-49220</link>
		<dc:creator>Daniel</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 24 Nov 2008 16:40:04 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://blogs.discovermagazine.com/cosmicvariance/2008/11/23/sufficient-reason/#comment-49220</guid>
		<description>Jason,

What exactly do you mean by a random process?  I believe there are two main interpretations of randomness: one which we might call epistemic randomness, where the apparent randomness of an event stems from our ignorance of its causes, and ontological randomness, where the event actually cannot be predicted even assuming perfect knowledge of all relevant facts which might influence the event.  It&#039;s not clear whether or not the second exists in nature, and I believe that even if it were the case that some events were random in the strong sense, that it would not be provable that they were. (This would require perfect knowledge of the state of the universe, and somehow an ability to determine that the event could not have been predicted from this information.  This seems impossible perhaps even in theory.)

If in fact there were truly random events, then this would most certainly contradict the Principle of Sufficient Reason as described here, since a failure to be able to predict an event in terms of prior events would translate into an inability to explain it. (Consider that we can explain &quot;why&quot; an event has occured if and only if we can identify its causes, so the two ideas are really equivalent.)</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Jason,</p>
<p>What exactly do you mean by a random process?  I believe there are two main interpretations of randomness: one which we might call epistemic randomness, where the apparent randomness of an event stems from our ignorance of its causes, and ontological randomness, where the event actually cannot be predicted even assuming perfect knowledge of all relevant facts which might influence the event.  It&#8217;s not clear whether or not the second exists in nature, and I believe that even if it were the case that some events were random in the strong sense, that it would not be provable that they were. (This would require perfect knowledge of the state of the universe, and somehow an ability to determine that the event could not have been predicted from this information.  This seems impossible perhaps even in theory.)</p>
<p>If in fact there were truly random events, then this would most certainly contradict the Principle of Sufficient Reason as described here, since a failure to be able to predict an event in terms of prior events would translate into an inability to explain it. (Consider that we can explain &#8220;why&#8221; an event has occured if and only if we can identify its causes, so the two ideas are really equivalent.)</p>
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		<title>By: Jason Dick</title>
		<link>http://blogs.discovermagazine.com/cosmicvariance/2008/11/23/sufficient-reason/comment-page-1/#comment-49214</link>
		<dc:creator>Jason Dick</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 24 Nov 2008 15:50:54 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://blogs.discovermagazine.com/cosmicvariance/2008/11/23/sufficient-reason/#comment-49214</guid>
		<description>I don&#039;t quite understand why the Principle of Sufficient Reason couldn&#039;t include the results of random processes?  It just requires that we&#039;re a bit careful about what we mean by a &quot;reason&quot; that something is one way instead of another.  What this principle does, for a random process, then, is shifts the question from the specific observed outcome to whatever it is that generates the random process.

So, if we want to talk about, say, why the cosmological constant takes the value it does, the answer might be that there isn&#039;t any particular reason why it took this specific value, but instead it derives from a random process.  And that random process itself follows a specific probability distribution because of the particular way in which new regions of the universe like our own are born.  To state this with a more realistic example, take a tornado: sure, there is no reason why the tornado struck &lt;i&gt;my&lt;/i&gt; house, but if we know enough about tornadoes we can say an awful lot about how they form, why they tend to touch down in certain areas more than in other areas, etc..

An ideal situation would be that if one followed the regress back far enough, one would arrive at a single statement that is either self-referencing (i.e. it is its own reason), or could be no other way.  That, I think, would be the dream of following this principle to its ultimate conclusion.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>I don&#8217;t quite understand why the Principle of Sufficient Reason couldn&#8217;t include the results of random processes?  It just requires that we&#8217;re a bit careful about what we mean by a &#8220;reason&#8221; that something is one way instead of another.  What this principle does, for a random process, then, is shifts the question from the specific observed outcome to whatever it is that generates the random process.</p>
<p>So, if we want to talk about, say, why the cosmological constant takes the value it does, the answer might be that there isn&#8217;t any particular reason why it took this specific value, but instead it derives from a random process.  And that random process itself follows a specific probability distribution because of the particular way in which new regions of the universe like our own are born.  To state this with a more realistic example, take a tornado: sure, there is no reason why the tornado struck <i>my</i> house, but if we know enough about tornadoes we can say an awful lot about how they form, why they tend to touch down in certain areas more than in other areas, etc..</p>
<p>An ideal situation would be that if one followed the regress back far enough, one would arrive at a single statement that is either self-referencing (i.e. it is its own reason), or could be no other way.  That, I think, would be the dream of following this principle to its ultimate conclusion.</p>
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