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	<title>Comments on: Can an Algorithm Give You Advice About Your Love Life?</title>
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	<link>http://blogs.discovermagazine.com/discoblog/2009/06/16/can-an-algorithm-give-you-advice-about-your-love-life/</link>
	<description>Quirky, funny, and surprising science news from the edge of the known universe.</description>
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		<title>By: What&#8217;s Your Risk of Dying Next Year? Wanna Find Out? &#124; Discoblog &#124; Discover Magazine</title>
		<link>http://blogs.discovermagazine.com/discoblog/2009/06/16/can-an-algorithm-give-you-advice-about-your-love-life/comment-page-1/#comment-25611</link>
		<dc:creator>What&#8217;s Your Risk of Dying Next Year? Wanna Find Out? &#124; Discoblog &#124; Discover Magazine</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 28 Aug 2009 15:06:07 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://blogs.discovermagazine.com/discoblog/2009/06/16/can-an-algorithm-give-you-advice-about-your-love-life/#comment-25611</guid>
		<description>[...] Content: Discoblog: Can an Algorithm Give You Advice About Your Love Life?  Discoblog: Google Turns &#8220;Magic Algorithm&#8221; Inwards, Predicts Which Employees Will Quit  [...]</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>[...] Content: Discoblog: Can an Algorithm Give You Advice About Your Love Life?  Discoblog: Google Turns &#8220;Magic Algorithm&#8221; Inwards, Predicts Which Employees Will Quit  [...]</p>
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		<title>By: From Discover Magazine: Can an Algorithm Give You Advice About Your Love Life? &#183; eHarmony Blog</title>
		<link>http://blogs.discovermagazine.com/discoblog/2009/06/16/can-an-algorithm-give-you-advice-about-your-love-life/comment-page-1/#comment-24015</link>
		<dc:creator>From Discover Magazine: Can an Algorithm Give You Advice About Your Love Life? &#183; eHarmony Blog</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sun, 21 Jun 2009 15:32:53 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://blogs.discovermagazine.com/discoblog/2009/06/16/can-an-algorithm-give-you-advice-about-your-love-life/#comment-24015</guid>
		<description>[...] Can an Algorithm Give You Advice About Your Love Life?, Discover Magazine, dated 16 June [...]</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>[...] Can an Algorithm Give You Advice About Your Love Life?, Discover Magazine, dated 16 June [...]</p>
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	<item>
		<title>By: Ubu7</title>
		<link>http://blogs.discovermagazine.com/discoblog/2009/06/16/can-an-algorithm-give-you-advice-about-your-love-life/comment-page-1/#comment-23969</link>
		<dc:creator>Ubu7</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 17 Jun 2009 22:07:43 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://blogs.discovermagazine.com/discoblog/2009/06/16/can-an-algorithm-give-you-advice-about-your-love-life/#comment-23969</guid>
		<description>&quot;Charles&quot; is all over the place, from the a-bomb to vehicle spacing...

He must be an algorithm.

The robocalypse is nigh!</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>&#8220;Charles&#8221; is all over the place, from the a-bomb to vehicle spacing&#8230;</p>
<p>He must be an algorithm.</p>
<p>The robocalypse is nigh!</p>
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		<title>By: Charles Barnard</title>
		<link>http://blogs.discovermagazine.com/discoblog/2009/06/16/can-an-algorithm-give-you-advice-about-your-love-life/comment-page-1/#comment-23964</link>
		<dc:creator>Charles Barnard</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 17 Jun 2009 20:32:21 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://blogs.discovermagazine.com/discoblog/2009/06/16/can-an-algorithm-give-you-advice-about-your-love-life/#comment-23964</guid>
		<description>Frankly, humans are not very good at solving problems which have an emotional element--which is nearly every question you generate.

Advice can come from anywhere and nowhere--as you note, the key is not whether or not a particular source can provide advice, but whether or not that advice is any good.

If you think you are safe or you think that you are at risk, you are wrong--risk perception in particular is done poorly by humans.

The more emotional content a decision holds, the more likely that a human will make an irrational choice.

Computers, the stars, entrails or cards, we always have tried to foist our decisions off of ourselves, and yet, ultimately, it is our decision to accept or reject advice.

Note that the decision to bomb Nagasaki was ultimately made by one man from a number of choices.

He could have opted to:
1) Drop the bomb despite being unable to see the target (what happened.)
2) Choose yet another target (Nagasaki was 2nd choice.)
3) Drop the bomb in a place where the Japanese military would be certain to notice, but which was uninhabited.
4) Drop the bomb far out to sea.
5) Fly to an airstrip which was above the 1800 foot trigger altitude, and have it disarmed.
6) Descend to detonation altitude and commit suicide.

According to his orders, options 2-4 were actually given, and option 1 was to be avoided--primarily because the military wanted a clear view of the explosion and damage. Since the mission had left the only camera operator at base, there was no photographic record, which  would have been the main reason for the requirement of a visible target.

Computerized systems can only make decisions based upon the data they are given, but humans are usually presented with decisions which must be made without sufficient data.

Can a program do that? Yes. Can it do so &quot;better&quot; than a human. It is likley that the answer, as you say, is dependent upon the question, and the data used.

As with any decision, the most important single factor is the phrasing of the question, very often, any particular question, as posed, automatically eliminates many possible answers.

For the instance cited (dumping your boyfriend,) the question takes what is a very complex situation with many variables, and brings it to a forced choice--and implies other questions which will need answering before n actual course of action can be taken.

As a society, we routinely spend far too little time preparing to make a decision by deciding what the appropriate question is and far too much time justifying the decision after we have made it.

For instance:

Second-hand smoke has been a major issue in my state for some time, but the solution (banning smoking) is based upon the question: Should we ban smoking because second-hand-smoke is a health risk to nearby non-smokers?

But the correct question is: How do we ensure good indoor air quality? Because smoke is only one of many different factors which affect the quality of the air. You can ban smoking, and the air quality may still result in more deaths than necessary.

Setting indoor air standards for public places, which could then be monitored would solve the stated problem (smoking) as well as the unstated problem (air quality.)

Note that while prohibiting smoking is now law, we still permit manufacturers to dump hundreds of tons of toxic chemicals into our local air.

The very first phase of any decision is to determine the proper question. This is much more difficult than most appreciate.

In the case of smoking, as with speeding, it is far more convenient to enforce laws against smoking rather than laws specifying air quality, just as it is much easier to enforce a speeding law than a law regarding vehicle spacing--despite the fact that vehicle spacing accounts for far more traffic accidents than speed per se does....

You are 8 times more likely to be involved in fatal vehicle accident if you are under 1 second behind the vehicle ahead of you--regardless of speed. The issue is reaction time, which has both fixed and variable components.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Frankly, humans are not very good at solving problems which have an emotional element&#8211;which is nearly every question you generate.</p>
<p>Advice can come from anywhere and nowhere&#8211;as you note, the key is not whether or not a particular source can provide advice, but whether or not that advice is any good.</p>
<p>If you think you are safe or you think that you are at risk, you are wrong&#8211;risk perception in particular is done poorly by humans.</p>
<p>The more emotional content a decision holds, the more likely that a human will make an irrational choice.</p>
<p>Computers, the stars, entrails or cards, we always have tried to foist our decisions off of ourselves, and yet, ultimately, it is our decision to accept or reject advice.</p>
<p>Note that the decision to bomb Nagasaki was ultimately made by one man from a number of choices.</p>
<p>He could have opted to:<br />
1) Drop the bomb despite being unable to see the target (what happened.)<br />
2) Choose yet another target (Nagasaki was 2nd choice.)<br />
3) Drop the bomb in a place where the Japanese military would be certain to notice, but which was uninhabited.<br />
4) Drop the bomb far out to sea.<br />
5) Fly to an airstrip which was above the 1800 foot trigger altitude, and have it disarmed.<br />
6) Descend to detonation altitude and commit suicide.</p>
<p>According to his orders, options 2-4 were actually given, and option 1 was to be avoided&#8211;primarily because the military wanted a clear view of the explosion and damage. Since the mission had left the only camera operator at base, there was no photographic record, which  would have been the main reason for the requirement of a visible target.</p>
<p>Computerized systems can only make decisions based upon the data they are given, but humans are usually presented with decisions which must be made without sufficient data.</p>
<p>Can a program do that? Yes. Can it do so &#8220;better&#8221; than a human. It is likley that the answer, as you say, is dependent upon the question, and the data used.</p>
<p>As with any decision, the most important single factor is the phrasing of the question, very often, any particular question, as posed, automatically eliminates many possible answers.</p>
<p>For the instance cited (dumping your boyfriend,) the question takes what is a very complex situation with many variables, and brings it to a forced choice&#8211;and implies other questions which will need answering before n actual course of action can be taken.</p>
<p>As a society, we routinely spend far too little time preparing to make a decision by deciding what the appropriate question is and far too much time justifying the decision after we have made it.</p>
<p>For instance:</p>
<p>Second-hand smoke has been a major issue in my state for some time, but the solution (banning smoking) is based upon the question: Should we ban smoking because second-hand-smoke is a health risk to nearby non-smokers?</p>
<p>But the correct question is: How do we ensure good indoor air quality? Because smoke is only one of many different factors which affect the quality of the air. You can ban smoking, and the air quality may still result in more deaths than necessary.</p>
<p>Setting indoor air standards for public places, which could then be monitored would solve the stated problem (smoking) as well as the unstated problem (air quality.)</p>
<p>Note that while prohibiting smoking is now law, we still permit manufacturers to dump hundreds of tons of toxic chemicals into our local air.</p>
<p>The very first phase of any decision is to determine the proper question. This is much more difficult than most appreciate.</p>
<p>In the case of smoking, as with speeding, it is far more convenient to enforce laws against smoking rather than laws specifying air quality, just as it is much easier to enforce a speeding law than a law regarding vehicle spacing&#8211;despite the fact that vehicle spacing accounts for far more traffic accidents than speed per se does&#8230;.</p>
<p>You are 8 times more likely to be involved in fatal vehicle accident if you are under 1 second behind the vehicle ahead of you&#8211;regardless of speed. The issue is reaction time, which has both fixed and variable components.</p>
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		<title>By: Al Goreythm</title>
		<link>http://blogs.discovermagazine.com/discoblog/2009/06/16/can-an-algorithm-give-you-advice-about-your-love-life/comment-page-1/#comment-23946</link>
		<dc:creator>Al Goreythm</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 17 Jun 2009 03:46:03 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://blogs.discovermagazine.com/discoblog/2009/06/16/can-an-algorithm-give-you-advice-about-your-love-life/#comment-23946</guid>
		<description>Oh Werd!</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Oh Werd!</p>
]]></content:encoded>
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