Comments on: Call Off the Crazy: Quake Prediction Falsely Attributed to Decades-Dead Quack Was Wrong http://blogs.discovermagazine.com/discoblog/2011/05/12/call-off-the-crazy-quake-prediction-falsely-attributed-to-decades-dead-quack-was-wrong/ Sat, 11 May 2013 22:50:00 +0000 hourly 1 http://wordpress.org/?v=3.4.2 By: Steve http://blogs.discovermagazine.com/discoblog/2011/05/12/call-off-the-crazy-quake-prediction-falsely-attributed-to-decades-dead-quack-was-wrong/#comment-25042 Steve Sun, 15 May 2011 15:55:47 +0000 http://blogs.discovermagazine.com/discoblog/?p=17570#comment-25042 Well...lets see, Bendandi was close this time in that there was a notable earthquake on that day because it affected a population center. Why did he think Rome was the target?? If you look at his hit vs. miss rate...would you really prescribe a theory when all the other planetary alignments coincided with few if any notable earthquakes. The magnitude of the Spain earthquake was not in itself very strong compared with all earthquakes that happen on any given day...look up the stats in LOL's link. You'll see that on average there are over 1300 magnitude 5.1 - 5.9 quakes per year. Given that this averages to over 3 Magnitude 5 quakes per day, if a quake of that magnitude didn't occur on a given day...then it would seem strange. In other words, if the planetary alignment should have produced a larger earthquake than average for any given day, then we can consider this myth busted. Well…lets see, Bendandi was close this time in that there was a notable earthquake on that day because it affected a population center. Why did he think Rome was the target?? If you look at his hit vs. miss rate…would you really prescribe a theory when all the other planetary alignments coincided with few if any notable earthquakes. The magnitude of the Spain earthquake was not in itself very strong compared with all earthquakes that happen on any given day…look up the stats in LOL’s link. You’ll see that on average there are over 1300 magnitude 5.1 – 5.9 quakes per year. Given that this averages to over 3 Magnitude 5 quakes per day, if a quake of that magnitude didn’t occur on a given day…then it would seem strange.

In other words, if the planetary alignment should have produced a larger earthquake than average for any given day, then we can consider this myth busted.

]]> By: Italiano http://blogs.discovermagazine.com/discoblog/2011/05/12/call-off-the-crazy-quake-prediction-falsely-attributed-to-decades-dead-quack-was-wrong/#comment-25041 Italiano Sat, 14 May 2011 03:02:26 +0000 http://blogs.discovermagazine.com/discoblog/?p=17570#comment-25041 There was a large earthquake in Spain this same day. Not too far off the mark. There was a large earthquake in Spain this same day. Not too far off the mark.

]]> By: LOL http://blogs.discovermagazine.com/discoblog/2011/05/12/call-off-the-crazy-quake-prediction-falsely-attributed-to-decades-dead-quack-was-wrong/#comment-25040 LOL Thu, 12 May 2011 21:12:56 +0000 http://blogs.discovermagazine.com/discoblog/?p=17570#comment-25040 @Mike. Here are some earthquake stats. http://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/eqarchives/year/eqstats.php As you can see there are on average 50 earthquakes each day. So if I predict there will be an earthquake somewhere in North America tomorrow and I am right, surely in light of your viewpoint this proves my ability to predict the future. Since this seems an adequate amount of evidence for you to believe in psychic abilities , I just have one (likely very profitable) question for you. Are you willing to send me $10000 for lottery number prediction skills? I'm sure eventually i'll pick a few good numbers...given enough time. Irrational now? @Mike.

Here are some earthquake stats.
http://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/eqarchives/year/eqstats.php

As you can see there are on average 50 earthquakes each day. So if I predict there will be an earthquake somewhere in North America tomorrow and I am right, surely in light of your viewpoint this proves my ability to predict the future.

Since this seems an adequate amount of evidence for you to believe in psychic abilities , I just have one (likely very profitable) question for you.
Are you willing to send me $10000 for lottery number prediction skills?
I’m sure eventually i’ll pick a few good numbers…given enough time.

Irrational now?

]]> By: Mike http://blogs.discovermagazine.com/discoblog/2011/05/12/call-off-the-crazy-quake-prediction-falsely-attributed-to-decades-dead-quack-was-wrong/#comment-25039 Mike Thu, 12 May 2011 19:11:44 +0000 http://blogs.discovermagazine.com/discoblog/?p=17570#comment-25039 Well, well, well, looks like Bendandi might have been wrong on the exact place, but he nailed the day didn't he? Skeptical now? Well, well, well, looks like Bendandi might have been wrong on the exact place, but he nailed the day didn’t he? Skeptical now?

]]> By: H.Be http://blogs.discovermagazine.com/discoblog/2011/05/12/call-off-the-crazy-quake-prediction-falsely-attributed-to-decades-dead-quack-was-wrong/#comment-25038 H.Be Thu, 12 May 2011 17:52:05 +0000 http://blogs.discovermagazine.com/discoblog/?p=17570#comment-25038 wkwkwkwkwk,...too many fault predictions! are they playing Angel? wkwkwkwkwk,…too many fault predictions! are they playing Angel?

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