These mixed marriages have resulted in the rise of a new generation with Gulfie dads and foreign mums who have difficulty speaking in Arabic. The kids are usually brought up speaking English because this is spoken at home between the parents and with the maids. This is speeding up the smaller GCC states’ transition to a predominantly English speaking region.

Someone will have to tell Robert Spencer et al that the ME will not be a 21-century womb of nations, sending forth its hordes to demographically overwhelm the Decadent West. Of course, the Decadent West meme was already around in the 19th century. If those prognosticators had been correct, Europe would have already succumbed to a Eurasian horde of Russian or Chinese provenance. In other words, if the West declines, as we are doing, slowly abandoning the Enlightenment and reveling in a coarse faux populism, we’ve nobody but ourselves to blame.

It’s anecdotal evidence, but I can recall that when I was in the UAE several years ago, I didn’t see hordes of Arab children. The ration of babies and kids to adults seemed about the same as in the US. At least, I wasn’t under the impression of where did all these kids come from? Another factor keeping the birth rates in the UAE down is that the “blue collar” guest workers are usually away from their spouses back in Pakistan, Sri Lanka or the Philippines. I’ve also been told that they have a strict policy of deportation for female guest workers who get pregnant.

What’s interesting from your chart is the lack of a correlation between region and life expectancy and fertility. The rates are all over the map, there is no apparent North African vs. Peninsular grouping. One might argue for a high fertility zone in the North ME: Iraq, Syria, Jordan with a Levantine outlier.

Considering the individual circumstances of these countries it isn’t surprising, cross the border between the UAE and Oman and you instantly notice an economic difference. Not surprising, but still interesting, I think.

“basing your answer about Rosenzweig on some Google tool is so pathetic that it is funny”

As pointed out by TGGP a long time ago, Goldman’s claim about lots of Iranian women becoming prostitutes is a total fabrication. Unless he has some new sources for the claim, I don’t buy it.

stop bullshitting.

his fame was modest in the english speaking word. are you ignorant, or are you too being mendacious?

#24
Sorry but it is difficult to take seriously someone who had never heard of Franz Rosenzweig, one of the most famous and most influential philosopher of the first half od the 20th century.

i was surprised by the magnitude of the decline among gulf arabs. i’ve blogged/am aware of the iranian fertility crash. there are few groups, like orthodox jews, which still exhibit positive fertility with socioeconomic status. i thought perhaps salafi rent-consuming arabs might be similar (also going by the fecundity of the house of saud).

#11, he’s either ignorant or mendacious. i think mendacious. people who find him awesomely insightful i assume are either stupid or ignorant.

http://takimag.com/article/who_is_spengler#axzz1cbwx9hbm