Hurricane Earl and the U.S. East Coast

By Chris Mooney | August 29, 2010 8:43 pm

Earl August 29Our first really threatening storm of the peak of hurricane season, the Category 1 Earl (infrared at right), is intensifying near the Leeward Islands.

The current forecast expects this trend to continue and maybe go as high as Category 4 intensity.

The key issue here is precisely what path Earl follows. Beyond the Caribbean, there is a potential threat to the Carolinas and also New England, as you can see in the current 5 day forecast cone (below).

At this point, there’s no predicting this. Earl could be harmless to the U.S., or, it could be completely hair-raising, with vulnerabilities spread along the East Coast. Stand by…

Earl Track

CATEGORIZED UNDER: Hurricanes

Comments (3)

  1. Anyone interested in how science actually works on a 6 hourly basis should read the NHC’s discussion bulletins on the storms. An example is here:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/archive/2010/al07/al072010.discus.020.shtml?
    These are the 1-5 paragraph summaries, written by the NHC meteorologists, which describe how they take the model, satellite, aircraft, and ground-based data and use it to make a prediction of where the storms are going and how big they will be. They are jargon-rich, but fascinating.

  2. Sean McCorkle

    Lab Lemming: excellent!

    The National Weather Service and National Hurricane Center: Your tax dollars at work!

  3. The awesome thing is that they’ve been on the internet for 15 years- I remember reading them in college in the summer of ’95.

NEW ON DISCOVER
OPEN
CITIZEN SCIENCE
ADVERTISEMENT

Discover's Newsletter

Sign up to get the latest science news delivered weekly right to your inbox!

About Chris Mooney

Chris is a science and political journalist and commentator and the author of three books, including the New York Times bestselling The Republican War on Science--dubbed "a landmark in contemporary political reporting" by Salon.com and a "well-researched, closely argued and amply referenced indictment of the right wing's assault on science and scientists" by Scientific American--Storm World, and Unscientific America: How Scientific Illiteracy Threatens Our Future, co-authored by Sheril Kirshenbaum. They also write "The Intersection" blog together for Discover blogs. For a longer bio and contact information, see here.

ADVERTISEMENT

See More

ADVERTISEMENT
Collapse bottom bar
+

Login to your Account

X
E-mail address:
Password:
Remember me
Forgot your password?
No problem. Click here to have it e-mailed to you.

Not Registered Yet?

Register now for FREE. Registration only takes a few minutes to complete. Register now »