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	<title>Comments on: The Fox News &#8220;Effect&#8221;: Following the Data</title>
	<atom:link href="http://blogs.discovermagazine.com/intersection/2011/05/18/the-fox-news-effect-following-the-data/feed/" rel="self" type="application/rss+xml" />
	<link>http://blogs.discovermagazine.com/intersection/2011/05/18/the-fox-news-effect-following-the-data/</link>
	<description>Where science collides with life, slams into culture, crashes with politics, and gets totaled.</description>
	<lastBuildDate>Tue, 27 Sep 2011 17:28:30 +0000</lastBuildDate>
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		<title>By: pedro</title>
		<link>http://blogs.discovermagazine.com/intersection/2011/05/18/the-fox-news-effect-following-the-data/#comment-100957</link>
		<dc:creator>pedro</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 20 May 2011 15:42:32 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://blogs.discovermagazine.com/intersection/?p=18117#comment-100957</guid>
		<description>Those &quot;opinions&quot; are not pulled out of thin air - they&#039;re based on the current alternative technology. It&#039;s not rocket science to figure out that alternative sources cannot sustain our energy needs. I&#039;m no professional in the alternative energy field, but I know how much it takes to convert a home to solar power and simple math will give you an idea of what would be necessary to power large parts of the country, it&#039;s not practical nor sustainable at this point on a large scale.  

Same for wind energy. Even after all the wind fields build in the Netherlands, including the world&#039;s largest onshore wind farm, they still only power about 9% of that small country. By simple math and logic, it can be shown that wind would not make sense on a large scale for a country as large and populated as the US. You also have to factor in the variability in the weather, which isn&#039;t simply quantified. There would have to be a fossil fuel powered back up system in place to ensure reliable power. 

They&#039;re both simply supplementary sources, therefore fossil fuels are still necessary ergo we should expand drilling for natural gas since it&#039;s abundant, readily available, domestic, and can cut national emissions 30-40% if implemented on a large scale (cars, factories, power plants, etc.) in conjunction with current alternative technology R&amp;D. It&#039;s not partisan politics, but the most rational decision at this point if people are serious about reducing emissions and cutting the importation and use of oil and gasoline. 

Believing the entire country or world can run on wind/solar/geothermal alone is a partisan left wing pipe dream and it just prolongs the path to long term progress. These measures could be implemented now if the left would put aside the need to appease radical environmentalist activists.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Those &#8220;opinions&#8221; are not pulled out of thin air &#8211; they&#8217;re based on the current alternative technology. It&#8217;s not rocket science to figure out that alternative sources cannot sustain our energy needs. I&#8217;m no professional in the alternative energy field, but I know how much it takes to convert a home to solar power and simple math will give you an idea of what would be necessary to power large parts of the country, it&#8217;s not practical nor sustainable at this point on a large scale.  </p>
<p>Same for wind energy. Even after all the wind fields build in the Netherlands, including the world&#8217;s largest onshore wind farm, they still only power about 9% of that small country. By simple math and logic, it can be shown that wind would not make sense on a large scale for a country as large and populated as the US. You also have to factor in the variability in the weather, which isn&#8217;t simply quantified. There would have to be a fossil fuel powered back up system in place to ensure reliable power. </p>
<p>They&#8217;re both simply supplementary sources, therefore fossil fuels are still necessary ergo we should expand drilling for natural gas since it&#8217;s abundant, readily available, domestic, and can cut national emissions 30-40% if implemented on a large scale (cars, factories, power plants, etc.) in conjunction with current alternative technology R&amp;D. It&#8217;s not partisan politics, but the most rational decision at this point if people are serious about reducing emissions and cutting the importation and use of oil and gasoline. </p>
<p>Believing the entire country or world can run on wind/solar/geothermal alone is a partisan left wing pipe dream and it just prolongs the path to long term progress. These measures could be implemented now if the left would put aside the need to appease radical environmentalist activists.</p>
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		<title>By: Somite</title>
		<link>http://blogs.discovermagazine.com/intersection/2011/05/18/the-fox-news-effect-following-the-data/#comment-100941</link>
		<dc:creator>Somite</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 20 May 2011 13:17:22 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://blogs.discovermagazine.com/intersection/?p=18117#comment-100941</guid>
		<description>This thread is a perfect example of the problem.  People have rationalized their own ideology in the abscence of data and research.  There are very long posts without a single reference to a peer-reviewed study to back the claims.

Things would be much better if we all learned to wait for the data or include the data along with our opinions.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>This thread is a perfect example of the problem.  People have rationalized their own ideology in the abscence of data and research.  There are very long posts without a single reference to a peer-reviewed study to back the claims.</p>
<p>Things would be much better if we all learned to wait for the data or include the data along with our opinions.</p>
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		<title>By: Faraday</title>
		<link>http://blogs.discovermagazine.com/intersection/2011/05/18/the-fox-news-effect-following-the-data/#comment-100913</link>
		<dc:creator>Faraday</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 20 May 2011 04:14:10 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://blogs.discovermagazine.com/intersection/?p=18117#comment-100913</guid>
		<description>Perhaps Mr. Mooney doesn&#039;t understand the science behind the left-wing anti-science cases of James Watson and Larry Summers?

Mr. Mooney, are you familiar with the science of these two cases?</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Perhaps Mr. Mooney doesn&#8217;t understand the science behind the left-wing anti-science cases of James Watson and Larry Summers?</p>
<p>Mr. Mooney, are you familiar with the science of these two cases?</p>
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		<title>By: Steve Sailer</title>
		<link>http://blogs.discovermagazine.com/intersection/2011/05/18/the-fox-news-effect-following-the-data/#comment-100863</link>
		<dc:creator>Steve Sailer</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 19 May 2011 20:54:22 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://blogs.discovermagazine.com/intersection/?p=18117#comment-100863</guid>
		<description>Once again, it&#039;s hard to take Mr. Mooney&#039;s career seriously since he refuses to talk about the two most flagrant anti-science brouhahas of the last decade: the denunciations and driving from office of America&#039;s most prominent man of science, James D. Watson, and of the president of Harvard and outstanding social scientist, Larry Summers.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Once again, it&#8217;s hard to take Mr. Mooney&#8217;s career seriously since he refuses to talk about the two most flagrant anti-science brouhahas of the last decade: the denunciations and driving from office of America&#8217;s most prominent man of science, James D. Watson, and of the president of Harvard and outstanding social scientist, Larry Summers.</p>
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		<title>By: TTT</title>
		<link>http://blogs.discovermagazine.com/intersection/2011/05/18/the-fox-news-effect-following-the-data/#comment-100854</link>
		<dc:creator>TTT</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 19 May 2011 18:37:46 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://blogs.discovermagazine.com/intersection/?p=18117#comment-100854</guid>
		<description>&lt;i&gt;Folks, polling data does suggest Truthers lean more left
http://www.politico.com/blogs/bensmith/0511/Truthers_and_birthers_contd.html&lt;/i&gt;

It suggests no such thing.  That poll is infamously badly designed, artificially inflating both the numbers and the political skew of 9/11Truthers.  Rephrase the question into something like &quot;Do you believe the U.S. government PLANNED AND CARRIED OUT the attacks,&quot; and then I&#039;ll take the results seriously.    

&quot;Do you believe Bush had advance knowledge&quot;?  Of course he did--Bush&#039;s own staff said so in sworn Congressional testimony.  That briefing, I believe it was called &quot;Bin Laden Determined to Strike Within the United States.&quot;  Our own government, via George Tenet, disclosed that in August &#039;01 they had seen &quot;the entire system was flashing red.&quot;  These are well-known facts, and many (especially many on the left) will never forget or forgive that those facts were wasted on Bush&#039;s empty head.  

Believing that Bush planned and ordered 9/11 himself, or that he had already put the pieces together and knowingly watched it, makes you a 9/11Truther.

Believing that Bush was handed everything most men would ever have needed to do a job right, but then disastrously fouled up because he is an incompetent imbecile, makes you someone aware of his biography.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><i>Folks, polling data does suggest Truthers lean more left<br />
<a href="http://www.politico.com/blogs/bensmith/0511/Truthers_and_birthers_contd.html" rel="nofollow">http://www.politico.com/blogs/bensmith/0511/Truthers_and_birthers_contd.html</a></i></p>
<p>It suggests no such thing.  That poll is infamously badly designed, artificially inflating both the numbers and the political skew of 9/11Truthers.  Rephrase the question into something like &#8220;Do you believe the U.S. government PLANNED AND CARRIED OUT the attacks,&#8221; and then I&#8217;ll take the results seriously.    </p>
<p>&#8220;Do you believe Bush had advance knowledge&#8221;?  Of course he did&#8211;Bush&#8217;s own staff said so in sworn Congressional testimony.  That briefing, I believe it was called &#8220;Bin Laden Determined to Strike Within the United States.&#8221;  Our own government, via George Tenet, disclosed that in August &#8217;01 they had seen &#8220;the entire system was flashing red.&#8221;  These are well-known facts, and many (especially many on the left) will never forget or forgive that those facts were wasted on Bush&#8217;s empty head.  </p>
<p>Believing that Bush planned and ordered 9/11 himself, or that he had already put the pieces together and knowingly watched it, makes you a 9/11Truther.</p>
<p>Believing that Bush was handed everything most men would ever have needed to do a job right, but then disastrously fouled up because he is an incompetent imbecile, makes you someone aware of his biography.</p>
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		<title>By: Bobito</title>
		<link>http://blogs.discovermagazine.com/intersection/2011/05/18/the-fox-news-effect-following-the-data/#comment-100846</link>
		<dc:creator>Bobito</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 19 May 2011 16:53:11 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://blogs.discovermagazine.com/intersection/?p=18117#comment-100846</guid>
		<description>@22  &lt;em&gt;Nuclear also doesn’t seem rational compared with wind and solar.&lt;/em&gt;

Since this post is about denying science, can you give me a scientific solution to how you would power the city of Atlanta after 2 cloudy and windless days? (I&#039;m using just one city and just 2 days to keep the example simple, but obviously this answer would have to apply to all cities and potentially longer timelines) 

In order to make the &quot;progressive&quot; solution of wind and solar possible you&#039;ll have to be able to resolve this very common scenario.  And with this solution, you will have to show how you can generate and store enough energy to last 2 days.  It&#039;s easy to say we can generate enough electricity to meet demand using these methods, but what happens when you can&#039;t due to weather?

I know of ideas to use excess energy created on sunny and exceptionally windy days to do things like pump water into reservoirs that can then be used to create hydro electric. Or to spin up large flywheels to store excess energy.  These solutions require you to generate enough electricity to meet demand + enough excess to last you days should you not be able to generate.  This fact significantly changes the discussion about how much energy you need to create.

And, once you&#039;ve answered this for a single city, we then need to roll out the solution across the country.  How are we paying for this?

It seems that quite often &quot;progressive&quot; is just another way of saying &quot;overly simplistic&quot;...</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>@22  <em>Nuclear also doesn’t seem rational compared with wind and solar.</em></p>
<p>Since this post is about denying science, can you give me a scientific solution to how you would power the city of Atlanta after 2 cloudy and windless days? (I&#8217;m using just one city and just 2 days to keep the example simple, but obviously this answer would have to apply to all cities and potentially longer timelines) </p>
<p>In order to make the &#8220;progressive&#8221; solution of wind and solar possible you&#8217;ll have to be able to resolve this very common scenario.  And with this solution, you will have to show how you can generate and store enough energy to last 2 days.  It&#8217;s easy to say we can generate enough electricity to meet demand using these methods, but what happens when you can&#8217;t due to weather?</p>
<p>I know of ideas to use excess energy created on sunny and exceptionally windy days to do things like pump water into reservoirs that can then be used to create hydro electric. Or to spin up large flywheels to store excess energy.  These solutions require you to generate enough electricity to meet demand + enough excess to last you days should you not be able to generate.  This fact significantly changes the discussion about how much energy you need to create.</p>
<p>And, once you&#8217;ve answered this for a single city, we then need to roll out the solution across the country.  How are we paying for this?</p>
<p>It seems that quite often &#8220;progressive&#8221; is just another way of saying &#8220;overly simplistic&#8221;&#8230;</p>
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		<title>By: Pablo</title>
		<link>http://blogs.discovermagazine.com/intersection/2011/05/18/the-fox-news-effect-following-the-data/#comment-100844</link>
		<dc:creator>Pablo</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 19 May 2011 15:53:54 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://blogs.discovermagazine.com/intersection/?p=18117#comment-100844</guid>
		<description>I would completely disagree there somite. Burning natural gas in place of oil and coal would, without a doubt, lower emissions significantly and allow us to be energy independent from foreign oil - a plan every rational person should favor. At the same time of making that transition, we could still develop electric vehicles and such to supplement the use of fossil fuels. It&#039;s an all inclusive approach that should please everyone and Republicans have been pushing for that exact type of approach to energy for years. It&#039;s also a scientific fact that alternative sources alone (wind, solar, geothermal) cannot meet our energy needs, so we will undoubtedly need to rely on fossil fuels for a large part of our energy regardless of &quot;green&quot; sources. You&#039;d also have to take into account the amount of land needed to prop up wind and solar farms to provide enough energy, along with the inherent variability in weather - it would not make much sense when you do the math. Solar is only viable if it made financial sense for everyone to install their own system on their house - which could be a possibility down the road if supply/demand drives the price of solar generated systems down. Wind only makes sense for select cities where a large portion of land is available (free of people due to the noise factor) and weather is favorable - an extremely small sample taking into account the entire country. If they made sense, they&#039;d be more of a reality already.  

On nuclear, it&#039;s very expensive to start up a nuclear plant. However, over the long term it pays itself back and results in near 0 emissions, while providing more power than any fossil fuel source. It&#039;s extremely efficient and there has only been 3 major nuclear plant disasters (really just 2 - Japan and Chernobyl, Green Island was a near disaster that was prevented) in the entire world since the 1950s. It&#039;s widely used over Europe and used on many large Naval ships and subs. In fact, nuclear engineers like to joke that it&#039;s safer to be inside a nuclear plant than outside - my friend is one down in NC, he says that all the time. 

Furthermore, looking at the disasters in Japan and Chernobyl the loss of life from nuclear exposure is minimal. The loss of life in Chernobyl was mostly from fires and explosions over exposure and to date no studies can confirm long term effects. It&#039;s really not as dangerous as many think and this is comparing decades old technology to today - even Japan&#039;s nuclear plant didn&#039;t meet the standards we have here in the US. To take redundant measures, new plants could be built in rural areas some 20 miles from any residential areas. 

I like to point out that statistically being injured or killed as a result of a nuclear disaster is less than getting struck by lightening, winning the lottery, dying in a plane crash, or getting in a car accident. Yet, we continue do these things every day. Being against nuclear power is plain illogical and anti-science - it&#039;s a fear/political response to a very low probability event with I&#039;d call medium consequence since the loss of life wasn&#039;t a direct result of nuclear exposure, nor widespread. It&#039;s similar to the Gulf oil disaster that had environmental activists up in arms, yet now proved to be insignificant - a disaster yes, but not catastrophic as they&#039;d projected at the time. It&#039;s no different from the loss of life as a result of a plane crash or car accident - disasters indeed, but far from catastrophic (being widespread loss of innocent life indirectly resulting from the accident - i.e victims of a nuclear explosion living outside a nuclear plant).</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>I would completely disagree there somite. Burning natural gas in place of oil and coal would, without a doubt, lower emissions significantly and allow us to be energy independent from foreign oil &#8211; a plan every rational person should favor. At the same time of making that transition, we could still develop electric vehicles and such to supplement the use of fossil fuels. It&#8217;s an all inclusive approach that should please everyone and Republicans have been pushing for that exact type of approach to energy for years. It&#8217;s also a scientific fact that alternative sources alone (wind, solar, geothermal) cannot meet our energy needs, so we will undoubtedly need to rely on fossil fuels for a large part of our energy regardless of &#8220;green&#8221; sources. You&#8217;d also have to take into account the amount of land needed to prop up wind and solar farms to provide enough energy, along with the inherent variability in weather &#8211; it would not make much sense when you do the math. Solar is only viable if it made financial sense for everyone to install their own system on their house &#8211; which could be a possibility down the road if supply/demand drives the price of solar generated systems down. Wind only makes sense for select cities where a large portion of land is available (free of people due to the noise factor) and weather is favorable &#8211; an extremely small sample taking into account the entire country. If they made sense, they&#8217;d be more of a reality already.  </p>
<p>On nuclear, it&#8217;s very expensive to start up a nuclear plant. However, over the long term it pays itself back and results in near 0 emissions, while providing more power than any fossil fuel source. It&#8217;s extremely efficient and there has only been 3 major nuclear plant disasters (really just 2 &#8211; Japan and Chernobyl, Green Island was a near disaster that was prevented) in the entire world since the 1950s. It&#8217;s widely used over Europe and used on many large Naval ships and subs. In fact, nuclear engineers like to joke that it&#8217;s safer to be inside a nuclear plant than outside &#8211; my friend is one down in NC, he says that all the time. </p>
<p>Furthermore, looking at the disasters in Japan and Chernobyl the loss of life from nuclear exposure is minimal. The loss of life in Chernobyl was mostly from fires and explosions over exposure and to date no studies can confirm long term effects. It&#8217;s really not as dangerous as many think and this is comparing decades old technology to today &#8211; even Japan&#8217;s nuclear plant didn&#8217;t meet the standards we have here in the US. To take redundant measures, new plants could be built in rural areas some 20 miles from any residential areas. </p>
<p>I like to point out that statistically being injured or killed as a result of a nuclear disaster is less than getting struck by lightening, winning the lottery, dying in a plane crash, or getting in a car accident. Yet, we continue do these things every day. Being against nuclear power is plain illogical and anti-science &#8211; it&#8217;s a fear/political response to a very low probability event with I&#8217;d call medium consequence since the loss of life wasn&#8217;t a direct result of nuclear exposure, nor widespread. It&#8217;s similar to the Gulf oil disaster that had environmental activists up in arms, yet now proved to be insignificant &#8211; a disaster yes, but not catastrophic as they&#8217;d projected at the time. It&#8217;s no different from the loss of life as a result of a plane crash or car accident &#8211; disasters indeed, but far from catastrophic (being widespread loss of innocent life indirectly resulting from the accident &#8211; i.e victims of a nuclear explosion living outside a nuclear plant).</p>
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		<title>By: Blorg</title>
		<link>http://blogs.discovermagazine.com/intersection/2011/05/18/the-fox-news-effect-following-the-data/#comment-100843</link>
		<dc:creator>Blorg</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 19 May 2011 15:49:56 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://blogs.discovermagazine.com/intersection/?p=18117#comment-100843</guid>
		<description>13.   Eric the Leaf Says: 
&quot;So, just curious, is there no scientific dispute regarding nuclear waste disposal at Yucca Mountain? When was the relevant study conducted? Are the findings unequivocal? Are there probabilities attached to the findings?&quot;

The relevant studies have been conducted over the past 25 years.  The Department of Energy prepared and submitted a License Application to the Nuclear Regulatory Commission that summarizes and references these thousands studies by the National Laboratories, the U.S. Geological Survey, Presidentially appointed panels, etc.  The License Application provides uneqivicoal findings (with probabilities) that indicate  Yucca Mountain is suitable for develpment a nuclear waste repository under the governing regulations.  It is available for review at:  
http://www.nrc.gov/waste/hlw-disposal/yucca-lic-app.html

Happy reading.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>13.   Eric the Leaf Says:<br />
&#8220;So, just curious, is there no scientific dispute regarding nuclear waste disposal at Yucca Mountain? When was the relevant study conducted? Are the findings unequivocal? Are there probabilities attached to the findings?&#8221;</p>
<p>The relevant studies have been conducted over the past 25 years.  The Department of Energy prepared and submitted a License Application to the Nuclear Regulatory Commission that summarizes and references these thousands studies by the National Laboratories, the U.S. Geological Survey, Presidentially appointed panels, etc.  The License Application provides uneqivicoal findings (with probabilities) that indicate  Yucca Mountain is suitable for develpment a nuclear waste repository under the governing regulations.  It is available for review at:<br />
<a href="http://www.nrc.gov/waste/hlw-disposal/yucca-lic-app.html" rel="nofollow">http://www.nrc.gov/waste/hlw-disposal/yucca-lic-app.html</a></p>
<p>Happy reading.</p>
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		<title>By: JerL</title>
		<link>http://blogs.discovermagazine.com/intersection/2011/05/18/the-fox-news-effect-following-the-data/#comment-100838</link>
		<dc:creator>JerL</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 19 May 2011 15:17:04 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://blogs.discovermagazine.com/intersection/?p=18117#comment-100838</guid>
		<description>Didn&#039;t have a chance to look at all the studies but the healthcare one is interesting in that, although Fox News viewers did worse than the CNN and MSNBC viewers, they were still exactly average. That would suggest to me that while Fox News is obviously not informing people well on healthcare, they are likely not misinforming people either, otherwise you would expect their viewers to be worse than average (although it depends on where the average person gets their information). 

It does also suggest, on this issue, that we should maybe be more worried about people who apparently know less than Fox News viewers and not worry about Fox News viewers themselves.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Didn&#8217;t have a chance to look at all the studies but the healthcare one is interesting in that, although Fox News viewers did worse than the CNN and MSNBC viewers, they were still exactly average. That would suggest to me that while Fox News is obviously not informing people well on healthcare, they are likely not misinforming people either, otherwise you would expect their viewers to be worse than average (although it depends on where the average person gets their information). </p>
<p>It does also suggest, on this issue, that we should maybe be more worried about people who apparently know less than Fox News viewers and not worry about Fox News viewers themselves.</p>
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		<title>By: Somite</title>
		<link>http://blogs.discovermagazine.com/intersection/2011/05/18/the-fox-news-effect-following-the-data/#comment-100837</link>
		<dc:creator>Somite</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 19 May 2011 15:16:11 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://blogs.discovermagazine.com/intersection/?p=18117#comment-100837</guid>
		<description>@pedro

The left says no because there is good data that burning more fossil fuels is not the answer because it exacerbates climate change.  The rational course is to replace as soon as possible fossil fuels with renewables that decrease greenhouse gas emissions.

Nuclear also doesn&#039;t seem rational compared with wind and solar.  What is the real cost when you add pollution and the possibility of disaster like in Japan?

The left is not as guilty as the right in distorting science.  It is just more progressive in its proposed solutions.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>@pedro</p>
<p>The left says no because there is good data that burning more fossil fuels is not the answer because it exacerbates climate change.  The rational course is to replace as soon as possible fossil fuels with renewables that decrease greenhouse gas emissions.</p>
<p>Nuclear also doesn&#8217;t seem rational compared with wind and solar.  What is the real cost when you add pollution and the possibility of disaster like in Japan?</p>
<p>The left is not as guilty as the right in distorting science.  It is just more progressive in its proposed solutions.</p>
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