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	<title>Comments on: The Left-Right Expertise Gap: Considering the Data</title>
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	<link>http://blogs.discovermagazine.com/intersection/2011/06/14/the-left-right-expertise-gap-considering-the-data/</link>
	<description>Where science collides with life, slams into culture, crashes with politics, and gets totaled.</description>
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		<title>By: Incredulous</title>
		<link>http://blogs.discovermagazine.com/intersection/2011/06/14/the-left-right-expertise-gap-considering-the-data/#comment-105172</link>
		<dc:creator>Incredulous</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 16 Jun 2011 22:44:55 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://blogs.discovermagazine.com/intersection/?p=18781#comment-105172</guid>
		<description>#25 Jeff,

Actually a mining geologist will have quite a background in paleoclimatology. When you become educated in the real variability of the earth&#039;s climate beyond the last few thousands of years, the amount of change discussed in the climate change debate is tiny. Even 100,000 years is pretty minuscule when you are looking at 4 billion years or so. 

The climate *not* changing would be much more unusual than climate change. We live on a pretty dynamic planet in some respects. There are many feedback mechanisms and controlling factors that are not really understood yet. We still don&#039;t have a full understanding of the mechanisms of ice ages, magnetic pole reversals, solar cycles, and many other events.

That doesn&#039;t give carte blanche to put crap in the atmosphere or oceans but it is not just a simplistic &quot;Ohh, we are going to cut back on carbon emissions and save the world&quot;.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>#25 Jeff,</p>
<p>Actually a mining geologist will have quite a background in paleoclimatology. When you become educated in the real variability of the earth&#8217;s climate beyond the last few thousands of years, the amount of change discussed in the climate change debate is tiny. Even 100,000 years is pretty minuscule when you are looking at 4 billion years or so. </p>
<p>The climate *not* changing would be much more unusual than climate change. We live on a pretty dynamic planet in some respects. There are many feedback mechanisms and controlling factors that are not really understood yet. We still don&#8217;t have a full understanding of the mechanisms of ice ages, magnetic pole reversals, solar cycles, and many other events.</p>
<p>That doesn&#8217;t give carte blanche to put crap in the atmosphere or oceans but it is not just a simplistic &#8220;Ohh, we are going to cut back on carbon emissions and save the world&#8221;.</p>
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		<title>By: Jeff</title>
		<link>http://blogs.discovermagazine.com/intersection/2011/06/14/the-left-right-expertise-gap-considering-the-data/#comment-105123</link>
		<dc:creator>Jeff</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 16 Jun 2011 16:28:46 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://blogs.discovermagazine.com/intersection/?p=18781#comment-105123</guid>
		<description>Finally found this post again after losing it reading all the follow-ons  all over the place.  I&#039;ve been wanting to follow these comments and forgot where they were.

Disclaimer:  This particular post is sparse on measurement, heavy on opinion.  MY opinion, of course, which is the one that drives my actions at the end of the day.  :)

@7  &quot;I think the real “us vs. them” has both scientists and politicians on both sides of the climate debate. Its not all politicians on one side, and its not all scientists on the other.&quot;

Yes, the totality of the population of individuals includes a mix on both sides.  However, several surveys inspecting the makeup of these populations unrelievedly show that a majority of politicians are on the denier side while a majority of academics are on the acceptance side.  This is further delineated by Dem. vs. Repub., with Repub. factions highly polarized into extreme denial with Dem. factions highly polarized into extreme acceptance.

To even get away from the surveys, you can look at Wikipedia for the Academic angle on this.  If you look at the primary page http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Scientific_opinion_on_climate_change, you see a long list of organizations that have published acceptance of the climate science.  If you follow the link at the top of that page to http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_scientists_opposing_the_mainstream_scientific_assessment_of_global_warming, you see a list of individuals with varying dissenting opinions.  

If we accept that organizations contain many individuals, here we have a rather brilliant record of the scope of the consensus.  Many, many more individuals, as members of organizations, support climate science than those few individuals that dissent.  Further, if you inspect the credentials of the individuals that dissent, some of their fields are highly suspect as expert opinions on climate science (for instance, what does mining geology teach us about global climate systems?).


&quot;I know you will readily acknowledge that there are many, many politicians on the Alarmist side of Climate Change. Can you acknowledge that there are also many, many scientists on the Denier side, even published climatologists in prestigious universities, like Pielke and Spencer?&quot;

Actually, I don&#039;t readily acknowledge that many, many politicians are in the Alarmist camp.  VERY personal opinion statement here, but to my eyes, talking about the potential consequences of climate change, we&#039;re actually looking at the potential for a large scale extinction of the human race.  Considering that, there are far too few Alarmists around.

See above for one assessment of the &quot;many, many scientists on the denier side.&quot;  :)  Multiple surveys and analysis point to there being a very minority number of scientists on the denier side.  I saw a link to one brilliant one, but have been unable to relocate that link, unfortunately.  Once I come back across it, I&#039;ll be back to post that.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Finally found this post again after losing it reading all the follow-ons  all over the place.  I&#8217;ve been wanting to follow these comments and forgot where they were.</p>
<p>Disclaimer:  This particular post is sparse on measurement, heavy on opinion.  MY opinion, of course, which is the one that drives my actions at the end of the day.  <img src='http://blogs.discovermagazine.com/intersection/wp-includes/images/smilies/icon_smile.gif' alt=':)' class='wp-smiley' /> </p>
<p>@7  &#8220;I think the real “us vs. them” has both scientists and politicians on both sides of the climate debate. Its not all politicians on one side, and its not all scientists on the other.&#8221;</p>
<p>Yes, the totality of the population of individuals includes a mix on both sides.  However, several surveys inspecting the makeup of these populations unrelievedly show that a majority of politicians are on the denier side while a majority of academics are on the acceptance side.  This is further delineated by Dem. vs. Repub., with Repub. factions highly polarized into extreme denial with Dem. factions highly polarized into extreme acceptance.</p>
<p>To even get away from the surveys, you can look at Wikipedia for the Academic angle on this.  If you look at the primary page <a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Scientific_opinion_on_climate_change" rel="nofollow">http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Scientific_opinion_on_climate_change</a>, you see a long list of organizations that have published acceptance of the climate science.  If you follow the link at the top of that page to <a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_scientists_opposing_the_mainstream_scientific_assessment_of_global_warming" rel="nofollow">http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_scientists_opposing_the_mainstream_scientific_assessment_of_global_warming</a>, you see a list of individuals with varying dissenting opinions.  </p>
<p>If we accept that organizations contain many individuals, here we have a rather brilliant record of the scope of the consensus.  Many, many more individuals, as members of organizations, support climate science than those few individuals that dissent.  Further, if you inspect the credentials of the individuals that dissent, some of their fields are highly suspect as expert opinions on climate science (for instance, what does mining geology teach us about global climate systems?).</p>
<p>&#8220;I know you will readily acknowledge that there are many, many politicians on the Alarmist side of Climate Change. Can you acknowledge that there are also many, many scientists on the Denier side, even published climatologists in prestigious universities, like Pielke and Spencer?&#8221;</p>
<p>Actually, I don&#8217;t readily acknowledge that many, many politicians are in the Alarmist camp.  VERY personal opinion statement here, but to my eyes, talking about the potential consequences of climate change, we&#8217;re actually looking at the potential for a large scale extinction of the human race.  Considering that, there are far too few Alarmists around.</p>
<p>See above for one assessment of the &#8220;many, many scientists on the denier side.&#8221;  <img src='http://blogs.discovermagazine.com/intersection/wp-includes/images/smilies/icon_smile.gif' alt=':)' class='wp-smiley' />   Multiple surveys and analysis point to there being a very minority number of scientists on the denier side.  I saw a link to one brilliant one, but have been unable to relocate that link, unfortunately.  Once I come back across it, I&#8217;ll be back to post that.</p>
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		<title>By: Why the &#8220;Enlightenment Ethic&#8221; Blinds the Left &#124; The Intersection &#124; Discover Magazine</title>
		<link>http://blogs.discovermagazine.com/intersection/2011/06/14/the-left-right-expertise-gap-considering-the-data/#comment-105107</link>
		<dc:creator>Why the &#8220;Enlightenment Ethic&#8221; Blinds the Left &#124; The Intersection &#124; Discover Magazine</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 16 Jun 2011 14:06:18 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://blogs.discovermagazine.com/intersection/?p=18781#comment-105107</guid>
		<description>[...] So now we&#8217;ve seen how academia and expertise have shifted left, how counter-expertise has moved in from the right, how this leaves us with a postmodern political [...]</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>[...] So now we&#8217;ve seen how academia and expertise have shifted left, how counter-expertise has moved in from the right, how this leaves us with a postmodern political [...]</p>
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		<title>By: Democrats and Republicans on Science, and on Policy Facts &#124; The Intersection &#124; Discover Magazine</title>
		<link>http://blogs.discovermagazine.com/intersection/2011/06/14/the-left-right-expertise-gap-considering-the-data/#comment-104977</link>
		<dc:creator>Democrats and Republicans on Science, and on Policy Facts &#124; The Intersection &#124; Discover Magazine</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 15 Jun 2011 18:30:40 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://blogs.discovermagazine.com/intersection/?p=18781#comment-104977</guid>
		<description>[...] We&#8217;ve seen how expertise has gone left, the right has countered, and how the resultant expertise war leaves our public discourse seemingly [...]</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>[...] We&#8217;ve seen how expertise has gone left, the right has countered, and how the resultant expertise war leaves our public discourse seemingly [...]</p>
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		<title>By: Maureen</title>
		<link>http://blogs.discovermagazine.com/intersection/2011/06/14/the-left-right-expertise-gap-considering-the-data/#comment-104946</link>
		<dc:creator>Maureen</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 15 Jun 2011 15:01:28 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://blogs.discovermagazine.com/intersection/?p=18781#comment-104946</guid>
		<description>I found this site through twitter (of what value twitter is to me I am not yet sure.)  Interesting back and forth over value of &quot;expertise.&quot;  What I&#039;m gathering is that there is a dispute over value of education as it seems suggested in these posts that Liberals or Democrats tend to be better educationally credentialed (I use credentials deliberately as I have found some very suspect thinking in Phds I have known).  Of course I am a die-hard LIBERAL and generally think conservatives are either morons or just selfish bastards who like not thinking about others. There is a similarity that I do find in the over educated (I am one) who tend to think in narrow intellectual terms.  They don&#039;t like thinking of the many gray areas in life that cannot be covered by any fringe reasoning. Still I find that my government seems awfully full of people who have absolutely no knowledge of history, economics or science and it does seem to me that this absence of knowledge has led to some really sad decisions.  My family on the right of every subject brag that they don&#039;t bother reading (just like our last president).  So they are proud of lack of &quot;expertise&quot; and still fanatic on their insistence that it is the liberals, the unions, the immigrants, the teachers etc. who are destroying their life.  Sarah Palin is their hero.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>I found this site through twitter (of what value twitter is to me I am not yet sure.)  Interesting back and forth over value of &#8220;expertise.&#8221;  What I&#8217;m gathering is that there is a dispute over value of education as it seems suggested in these posts that Liberals or Democrats tend to be better educationally credentialed (I use credentials deliberately as I have found some very suspect thinking in Phds I have known).  Of course I am a die-hard LIBERAL and generally think conservatives are either morons or just selfish bastards who like not thinking about others. There is a similarity that I do find in the over educated (I am one) who tend to think in narrow intellectual terms.  They don&#8217;t like thinking of the many gray areas in life that cannot be covered by any fringe reasoning. Still I find that my government seems awfully full of people who have absolutely no knowledge of history, economics or science and it does seem to me that this absence of knowledge has led to some really sad decisions.  My family on the right of every subject brag that they don&#8217;t bother reading (just like our last president).  So they are proud of lack of &#8220;expertise&#8221; and still fanatic on their insistence that it is the liberals, the unions, the immigrants, the teachers etc. who are destroying their life.  Sarah Palin is their hero.</p>
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		<title>By: When it Comes to Expertise, Even If You&#8217;re Outgunned You Can Always Fight a Guerilla War &#124; The Intersection &#124; Discover Magazine</title>
		<link>http://blogs.discovermagazine.com/intersection/2011/06/14/the-left-right-expertise-gap-considering-the-data/#comment-104941</link>
		<dc:creator>When it Comes to Expertise, Even If You&#8217;re Outgunned You Can Always Fight a Guerilla War &#124; The Intersection &#124; Discover Magazine</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 15 Jun 2011 14:43:38 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://blogs.discovermagazine.com/intersection/?p=18781#comment-104941</guid>
		<description>[...] two posts about my American Prospect piece, I showed how the Democratic Party today has become the chosen party of experts and &#8220;empirical professionals,&#8221; but also that conservatives have plenty of experts of their own and, indeed, have made a [...]</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>[...] two posts about my American Prospect piece, I showed how the Democratic Party today has become the chosen party of experts and &#8220;empirical professionals,&#8221; but also that conservatives have plenty of experts of their own and, indeed, have made a [...]</p>
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		<title>By: Marion Delgado</title>
		<link>http://blogs.discovermagazine.com/intersection/2011/06/14/the-left-right-expertise-gap-considering-the-data/#comment-104876</link>
		<dc:creator>Marion Delgado</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 14 Jun 2011 21:28:06 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://blogs.discovermagazine.com/intersection/?p=18781#comment-104876</guid>
		<description>Chris:

One thing I think you should remind yourself of: while academically there are conservatives - and even then only to a degree and by leaving things out - academically there really aren&#039;t liberals.

Liberals in the US include all the people with only a high school diploma, GED, or even less in areas that aren&#039;t too rural. They also include a lot of experts with doctorates and post-doc study.

The conservatives do a little better with the middle - bachelor&#039;s degrees and into master&#039;s degrees.

This was my second reason for disagreeing with one of your Point of Inquiry interviewees. He raised the issue of &quot;liberals&quot; not knowing what the NAS opinion was of - not what is ALWAYS covered in the papers and on TV, putting radioactive waste in some central dump, such as a proposed one in Nevada - but about dumping it in ocean ridges. To noone&#039;s surprise, they didn&#039;t correctly know. Given the bait-and-switch approach he used, a good question is how they possibly could have known, for purposes of answering a poll. To imply it&#039;s equivalent to the conservative denial of AGW is, I think, just false.

But another good question is, if you have one group that&#039;s somewhat together educationally, or at least a continuum, can you apply the same standards to another group that&#039;s at the two fringes? If you&#039;re polling only people of comparable education, at least that&#039;s good polling, but it&#039;s not telling you what liberals think (and I think that&#039;s a good thing, because only on some issues can you seriously say a diverse coalition thinks anything).  On a science question, a liberal post-doc is not the same as a liberal janitor. Cabbies, maybe :)</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Chris:</p>
<p>One thing I think you should remind yourself of: while academically there are conservatives &#8211; and even then only to a degree and by leaving things out &#8211; academically there really aren&#8217;t liberals.</p>
<p>Liberals in the US include all the people with only a high school diploma, GED, or even less in areas that aren&#8217;t too rural. They also include a lot of experts with doctorates and post-doc study.</p>
<p>The conservatives do a little better with the middle &#8211; bachelor&#8217;s degrees and into master&#8217;s degrees.</p>
<p>This was my second reason for disagreeing with one of your Point of Inquiry interviewees. He raised the issue of &#8220;liberals&#8221; not knowing what the NAS opinion was of &#8211; not what is ALWAYS covered in the papers and on TV, putting radioactive waste in some central dump, such as a proposed one in Nevada &#8211; but about dumping it in ocean ridges. To noone&#8217;s surprise, they didn&#8217;t correctly know. Given the bait-and-switch approach he used, a good question is how they possibly could have known, for purposes of answering a poll. To imply it&#8217;s equivalent to the conservative denial of AGW is, I think, just false.</p>
<p>But another good question is, if you have one group that&#8217;s somewhat together educationally, or at least a continuum, can you apply the same standards to another group that&#8217;s at the two fringes? If you&#8217;re polling only people of comparable education, at least that&#8217;s good polling, but it&#8217;s not telling you what liberals think (and I think that&#8217;s a good thing, because only on some issues can you seriously say a diverse coalition thinks anything).  On a science question, a liberal post-doc is not the same as a liberal janitor. Cabbies, maybe <img src='http://blogs.discovermagazine.com/intersection/wp-includes/images/smilies/icon_smile.gif' alt=':)' class='wp-smiley' /> </p>
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		<title>By: Chris Mooney</title>
		<link>http://blogs.discovermagazine.com/intersection/2011/06/14/the-left-right-expertise-gap-considering-the-data/#comment-104861</link>
		<dc:creator>Chris Mooney</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 14 Jun 2011 19:03:43 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://blogs.discovermagazine.com/intersection/?p=18781#comment-104861</guid>
		<description>@18 I give up. You&#039;ve defeated my by sheer refusal to read what i am saying.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>@18 I give up. You&#8217;ve defeated my by sheer refusal to read what i am saying.</p>
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		<title>By: Johnny</title>
		<link>http://blogs.discovermagazine.com/intersection/2011/06/14/the-left-right-expertise-gap-considering-the-data/#comment-104860</link>
		<dc:creator>Johnny</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 14 Jun 2011 19:00:02 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://blogs.discovermagazine.com/intersection/?p=18781#comment-104860</guid>
		<description>@13 Chris Mooney

&lt;i&gt; if you cannot see how there are postgraduates above, I’m very sorry, but it is an unambiguous fact.&lt;/i&gt;

I can see how academics are considered post graduates, but...

I can&#039;t see where you are surveying post graduates who are not academics.  Provide us with a link that says you surveyed non-academic post-graduates, because all of the evidence you&#039;ve provided so far is missing that information.

------

@17 Mike

&lt;i&gt;Lets not confuse “expertise” with “credentialed”.&lt;/i&gt;

To the academic left, there is no difference whatsoever between the two.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>@13 Chris Mooney</p>
<p><i> if you cannot see how there are postgraduates above, I’m very sorry, but it is an unambiguous fact.</i></p>
<p>I can see how academics are considered post graduates, but&#8230;</p>
<p>I can&#8217;t see where you are surveying post graduates who are not academics.  Provide us with a link that says you surveyed non-academic post-graduates, because all of the evidence you&#8217;ve provided so far is missing that information.</p>
<p>&#8212;&#8212;</p>
<p>@17 Mike</p>
<p><i>Lets not confuse “expertise” with “credentialed”.</i></p>
<p>To the academic left, there is no difference whatsoever between the two.</p>
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		<title>By: Mike H</title>
		<link>http://blogs.discovermagazine.com/intersection/2011/06/14/the-left-right-expertise-gap-considering-the-data/#comment-104857</link>
		<dc:creator>Mike H</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 14 Jun 2011 18:36:09 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://blogs.discovermagazine.com/intersection/?p=18781#comment-104857</guid>
		<description>Lets not confuse “expertise” with “credentialed”. An education alone does not confer expertise  .. education and experience obtaining quantifiable results does that. I find that I personally am far more of an expert in matters relating to the energy industry than the entire “Wonk” brigade over at ThinkProgress, so much so that Joe Romm banned me years ago.  

I would argue that this “expertise gap” is not nearly as relevant or as pressing as you are making it out to be as there is more to the world than climate science and evolution. Is it really an issue that sociology and other social sciences are decidedly liberal? What do these people contribute to the national debate? What impact do they have on our day to day lives?</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Lets not confuse “expertise” with “credentialed”. An education alone does not confer expertise  .. education and experience obtaining quantifiable results does that. I find that I personally am far more of an expert in matters relating to the energy industry than the entire “Wonk” brigade over at ThinkProgress, so much so that Joe Romm banned me years ago.  </p>
<p>I would argue that this “expertise gap” is not nearly as relevant or as pressing as you are making it out to be as there is more to the world than climate science and evolution. Is it really an issue that sociology and other social sciences are decidedly liberal? What do these people contribute to the national debate? What impact do they have on our day to day lives?</p>
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